【禁聞】首位博士總理上位 李克強如何破局

【新唐人2013年03月16日訊】隨著習近平簽署第一號主席令,李克強成為中共第7任國務院總理,「習李」體制正式啟動。外界普遍關注,李克強是否也會像朱鎔基接班的時侯「抬一百口棺材,留一口給自己」,或者是象溫家寶開始信心滿滿,到離任時卻不盡人意。

在15號的中共十二屆全國人大一次會議第五次全體會議上,李克強被任命為國務院總理。  

根據規定,國務院總理將提名副總理、國務委員、各部部長、各委員會主任、中國人民銀行行長、審計長、秘書長等人選,並提請人大會決定任命。

但外界早已透露,這一屆國務院仍維持「一主四副」編製,即李克強任總理,張高麗為常務副總理,劉延東、馬凱及汪洋分任另三位副總理。

北京時政觀察人士華頗:「從整體來看,還是李克強能夠說了算,因為他這班子裡沒有像王岐山那樣一個張揚、強勢、能力的人物。張高麗是常委,當然它是第一副總理。他的上位屬於18大上各派博弈、妥協的結果。」

北京時政觀察人士華頗認為,能力不突出的「騎牆派」張高麗,不會對李克強構成威脅,李克強應該滿意副總理的配備。

李克強是文革結束後恢復高考的第一批大學生,他考入「北京大學」法律系。在「北大」上學期間,擔任「北大學生會」主席;畢業後在職獲「北大」經濟學博士。

1993年,李克強擔任共青團中央書記處第一書記,98年42歲的他出任河南省代省長, 2002年升任省委書記,自2008年李克強擔任國務院副總理。

不過,新出任總理的李克強恐怕不會輕鬆。

從來自國家統計局的資料顯示,二月份通膨達到3.2%,為10個月來最高,而工業產出和消費者支出比預測的更加疲軟,而國家的固定資產投資增長卻達21.2%,是1年來最大。英國《路透社》對此表示,中國不平衡的經濟,預示著一個迫在眉睫的決策者困境。

「英國廣播公司」《BBC》評論李克強「當選」總理時指出,他的當務之急是推動中國經濟增長的轉型、維持經濟較高速度的增長、縮小城鄉收入差距等,但實際上挑戰遠不止於此。

時事評論員藍述:「今天不管是誰當上總理,也不論誰當上中共最高領導人,中國所面臨的危機都是一樣的。最大的危機就是由於中共的腐敗以及貧富的差距,所造成的中國社會巨大的不平等,和大量的、大面積出現的、高發性的群體抗爭事件。」

中共喉舌《新華社》主辦的《瞭望》雜誌之前公布的資料顯示,中國的「群體性事件」,已由2000年的4萬起增加到 2009年的11萬起,而2010年中國發生的群體性事件共約28萬起,其中百人以上的群體性事件增加到8500多起。 

從溫州動車事故到錢雲會慘死,從烏坎對峙到甚邡騷亂,從食品監管不力到官員貪腐濫權,民間網路爆料使「表叔」、「房叔」紛紛落馬,這一切都讓中共政府公信力蕩然無存。 

流亡學者嚴家祺撰文指出,李克強、王岐山等中國領導人都清醒的看到,中國的制度在很多方面都與託克維克描述的「舊制度」相同,中國不改革,就會爆發十八世紀法國那樣的暴力革命。所以,許多中共領導人心目中知道,中國今天處於大革命前夕,紛紛把自己的財產存放到國外,讓子女移民到國外。

而中國的「新三座大山」——醫療、教育和住房,在李克強擔任國務院常務副總理後主抓的這三塊,不見好轉;在此之前,李克強執政河南時出現的「賣血村」、「艾滋村」事件,也給他蒙上了陰影。 
 
採訪/易如 編輯/宋風 後製/周天

New Prime Minister Li Keqiang Ph.D

When Xi Jinping signed Presidential Decree, Li Keqiang
became 7th Premier of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Xi- Li administration had officially started. Common concern
for the outside world is maybe Li Keqiang is like Zhu Rongji;
To take 100 coffins, keep one for himself or be as confident as
Premier Wen at first but be unsatisfactory when retired.

In the fifth plenary meeting for the 12th CCP National People’s
Congress meeting on March 15th, Li Keqiang became Premier.

According to regulations, the Premier of the State Council will
nominate the vice premiers, state councilors, ministers,
commissioners, the President of the People’s Bank of China,
the Auditor-General, the Secretary-General and other candidates.
and these appointments be brought to the NPC meeting to decide.

But the outside world has already revealed this session of
the State Council will remain the preparation of ‘one chief and four vice premiers’;
This means that Li Keqiang is Premier, Zhang Gaoli is Deputy
Prime Minister, along with Liu Yandong, Ma Kai and Wang Yang.

Hua Po, a Politics watcher in Beijing said,
“On the whole, Li Keqiang has the final say.
His team did not have assertive, strong and capable figures
like Wang Qishan so Li made the decisions.
Zhang Gaoli is a Standing Committee member as
the first deputy prime minister.
The others took positions as a result of compromise
in the 18th NPC."

Hua Po, a politics watcher in Beijing said,
Zhang Gaoli is a fence-sitter without huge abilities.
He will not pose a threat to Li Keqiang,
so Li should be satisfied with the vice prime ministers.

Li Keqiang is in the first batch of students after the resumption
of the college entrance exam after the Cultural Revolution.
He was admitted to the School of Law in Peking University.

During his studies in college, he served as President of
the Peking University Student Union.
After graduation, he became the Ph.D. in economics
of Peking University.

In 1993, Li served as the first secretary of the Central
Communist Youth League.
In 1998, 42-year-old Li became an acting governor
of Henan Province.
In 2002 he was promoted to the secretary of
the provincial party committee.
He had served as Vice Premier of the State Council since 2008.

However, life for the newly appointed prime minister
Li Keqiang will not be easy.

From data from the National Bureau of Statistics, inflation
reached 3.2% in February, the highest in the past 10 months.
Industrial output and consumer spending was weaker than
predicted, but the country’s fixed asset investment growth was as high as 21.2%, the maximum within the year.
Reuters said China’s unbalanced economy
is signaling an imminent decision.

BBC commented when Li Keqiang was elected Prime Minister,

he said his top priority was to promote the transformation of
China’s economic growth, to maintain high economic growth,
and narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas.
There are other challenges far greater than that.

Political commentator Lan Shu: “Today, no matter who is
the Prime Minister, and regardless of who are the top leaders of the CCP, the crisis facing China is the same.
The biggest crisis is the CCP corruption. The gap between
rich and poor has caused huge inequalities in Chinese society.
A lot of group protests appear in large areas regularly."

CCP mouthpiece Xinhua News Agency’s magazine, Outlook,
had published data which showed the mass incidents in China.
They were 40,000 in 2000, increased to 110,000 in 2009 and
in 2010, group event had a total of about 280,000 cases.
Over 8,500 cases had more than 100 people involved.

From Wenzhou motor accident to the death of Qian Yunhui,
from Wukan confrontation to riots in Shifang.
From ineffective supervision of foods to corruption and
power abuses of officials.
civil exposures made ‘Uncle Watch’ and ‘Uncle House’ fall down,
all of these eliminated the credibility of the CCP regime.

Exiled scholar Yan Jiaqi pointed out, Li Keqiang, Wang Qishan,
and other China’s leaders are clear to see that
the Chinese system is the same in many respects with
the old system described by Tocqueville;
if China does not reform, violent revolutions
will erupt like that in eighteenth century in France.
So many leaders of the CCP know that China today
is on the eve of the Revolution.
They have deposited their money in properties abroad,
and emigrated their children to other countries.

The new ‘three big mountains’ of the Chinese people-
health care, education and housing,
did not improve in the charge of Li Keqiang as
Deputy Prime Minister of the State Council.
Before this, Henan Province under Li Keqiang’s rule looks
like blood selling villages and AIDS villages, which cast shadows.

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