【新唐人2012年2月2日讯】英国《经济学人》杂志增加新的中国栏目，新一期文章分析“中国的动乱 危险的一年”。与此同时，江西赣州上千群众喊出“打倒共产党”、“把五星红旗摘下来烧掉”的口号，抗议当地官员不办实事、只讲空话。
1月29号上午9点，江西赣州于都县4名长途运输汽车站协管员，与运输承包人发生纠纷，协管员持刀伤害了两位运输承包人。当天下午，上千名群众聚在桥头乡派出所门前示威抗议，群众当着政府官员和警察的面喊出了“打倒共产党”、“把五星红旗摘下来烧掉”等口号，群众抗议官员洗脑式喊话，要求严惩凶手。
记者致电桥头乡派出所，了解如何处置两名行凶者，但警方拒绝回答。
桥头乡派出所人员：“现在还无可奉告!”
桥头乡村民表示，当天到中午1点，还有上千人聚集在派出所门口。
桥头乡村民：“老百姓难过日子！不好过日子啊！老百姓。贪官相逼，贪污贪的厉害！”
英国《经济学人》新一期的杂志封面文章，专门探讨中国的现状。其中标题为“中国的动乱 危险的一年”文章认为，“中国在玩‘击鼓传花’，不过传递的是定时炸弹。”
文章分析指出，近年来，国企和私营企业的工人罢工日益频繁，随着中国经济放缓，更多这样的群众事件正时隐时现。而中共企图“捂盖子”，让新闻媒体保持沉默的做法，由于微博的爆炸性增长，共产党要阻止这类抗争的能力正在减弱。而中国的经济环境也同样出现了更多的麻烦。
文章表示，中共在经济发展上的所谓“中国模式”，看起来越来越难以为继。
美国“纽约城市大学”经济学教授陈志飞分析，《经济学人》开辟中国栏目，显示中国的经济在近期有很大的困难，长远来看有崩溃的危险，因此杂志一反学者专家的臆测，深度剖析原因。
陈志飞：“就是《经济学人》所称的模型(Model) ，现在被认为是不可行的。从出口来看，尤其美国和欧盟经济的疲软，现在中国带动出口的制造业行业，在过去的一个季度当中，已经持续持萎缩的状态。在另外一个支柱来看，就是中国的投资，从经济学的意义来(说) ，不能带来投资效益，迟早是要破灭的，这破灭的一天现在看来已经到来了。”
《经济学人》认为：在十八大之后接手的领导层，将很快面临处理社会动乱的考验。即使中国不会出现阿拉伯世界的起义，许多中国学者说，未来几年也会看到不断冒出的不稳定，经济增长放缓和贫富差距的扩大会加剧这一情况。中国即将离任的领导人，试图压制有关改革政治体制的讨论，也闭口不谈能否让公民更自由的表达自己的观点。但许多分析家认为，这种改革是迫切需要的。
陈志飞：“我基本认同它的说法，而且它的事实、还有论据、论证，基本都是非常中肯、非常有理性的。从它整个的结构，文章的布局谋篇来看，也是经过深思熟虑的，而且《经济学人》不同于一般的欧美杂志，它是经常具有自己独家一手的资料，甚至中国国内的情况掌控上，都有它自己完全独特的一套。”
《经济学人》杂志从1月28号起，正式开辟中国专栏，这是《经济学人》70年来，首次为一个国家开辟专栏。
新唐人记者陈汉、周平、王明宇采访报导。
The Economist: Unrest in China, A dangerous Year
While The British magazine, The Economist, recently published
an article entitled, “Unrest in China A dangerous year" in its World Politics China column,
thousands of people in Ganzhou, Jiangxi Province shouted
slogans “Down with the Communist Party,"
“Off the CCP flag and burn it," to protest against local
official’s empty words.
At 9:00 am, January 29th, two transportation contractors were
stabbed as a result of a quarrel with four coordinators of
a long-distance bus transportation company in Yudu County,
Ganzhou, Jiangxi.
In the afternoon, thousands of people protested at the local police station.
They shouted slogans “Down with the Communist Party,"
“Off the CCP flag and burn it," and
demanded stern punishment of the criminals, despite the
brainwashing propaganda from the officials and the police.
The reporter called the local police station at Chiaotou Village
to learn about the two assailants, but the police refused to answer, saying,, “No comment!"
Chiaotou villagers indicated that there were still thousands of
people near the police station at 1pm.
They said, “The people are having a hard time! Life is hard,
surrounded by corrupt officials and their greed!"
The Economist devoted its latest issue to China and
its paradox of prosperity.
The article entitled, “Unrest in China A dangerous year" stated
that China is “playing ‘pass the parcel’ with a time bomb."
This paper analyzes that in recent years, strikes have become
increasingly frequent at both government owned and privately owned factories,
“as China’s economy begins to grow more sedately,
more such unrest is looming."
The Communists’ thinking “is that capitulating keeps a lid on
news coverage and helps to prevent unrest from spreading."
“Yet the explosive growth in the use of Microblogs has made
“the Communist Party’s capacity to stop ripples of unease from
widening is waning—just as economic conditions are
making trouble more likely."
The article stated that so-called “China model" economy
“appears increasingly unsustainable."
Professor Chen Zhifei of the City University of New York
analyzed that The Economist’s coverage of China reflects
the great economic difficulties China is facing and
the possible collapse in the long run.
Therefore contradicting the speculations of many
other scholars, the magazine conducted an in-depth analysis.
Chen Zhifei: “The so-called Model in the Economist article
is now considered unfeasible.
The weakening of the U.S. and EU economy, which was driven
by China’s manufacturing, is in decline looking at the last quarter.
As for China’s investment, in an economic sense,
it can not bring returns; sooner or later it will burst.
It now appears that the day of bursting has come."
The Economist stated, “The new leadership that will take over
after the upcoming Congress will quickly face tests of its ability to handle social unrest.
Even if the country does not appear on the brink of
an Arab-style upheaval,
many Chinese academics say the next few years could see
burgeoning instability,
exacerbated by slower economic growth
and a widening gap between rich and poor.
China’s outgoing leaders have tried to suppress debate
about ways of reforming the political system in such a way that
allows the public to voice their grievances more freely.
But many analysts believe there is a pressing need
for such reform."
Chen Zhifei: “I basically agree with the pertinence of
that statement and its rational, fact based arguments.
The article deliberates through the structure and
arrangement of the layout.
The Economist is a different magazine from general
European and American magazines.
It often has its own exclusively first-hand information,
and even its own unique grasp of the situation in China."
The Economist magazine devoted its January 28th issue
to China.
This is the first column devoted to a country in the 70 years
of The Economist’s publishing history.
NTD reporters Chen Han, Zhou Ping and Wang Mingyu.
