根據英國《經濟學人》雜誌最新特刊《2015全球大趨勢》（The World in 2015）預測，新的一年裡，北京將堅持立場，但代價是激發港人再次上街，這會讓特首梁振英有段難熬的任期。文章還預言，香港明年可能會宣佈進入緊急狀態，中共軍隊也有進駐市區的可能。
H K Police “Count Down" to 2015 Defend Against Demonstration
On the last night of 2014, the whole world is busy counting
down to welcome 2015.
Of course, Hong Kong people are doing the same.
However, 2014 was a special year for Hong Kong as it just
experienced the umbrella movement that drew
How will Hong Kong residents celebrate the New Year?
Will Occupy Central be resurrected on New Year’s Eve?
Let’s take a look.
Radio Free Asia reported on Dec.31 that countdown events
would be held all over Hong Kong.
The police estimated that about 380,000 people would
go on street celebrations.
To defend against possible demonstration seeking general
election on the night, 6000 police were deployed and
some roads would also be blocked by turns.
Tsoi Yiu Cheong, Vice Chairman of Hong Kong Alliance in
Support of Patriotic Democratic Movements of China:
“We could only learn the layout of police force from media,
and probably this information is not very accurate.
The people currently gathering outside the Legislature
are not from a single group.
The Occupy Trio and Scholarism members are also
Rumors about what those people plan to do are not real."
Recently, many protesters started a campaign called
“dove wooing group" around places such as Mong Kok
and Yau Ma Tei.
In Cantonese, “dove wooing" sounds similar to “shopping".
After Occupy sites were cleared by police, floating Occupy
Central activists have been named “dove wooing group".
They hold yellow umbrellas as they wander in downtown areas,
to voice their support for Occupy Central.
Ms. Tang, Hong Kong resident:"It is just ‘dove wooing’
around Mong Kok by ordinary civilians.
It is not a demonstration.
Those people do ‘dove wooing’, in other words shopping,
at Nathan Road or Mong Kok after work.
Most of them do that for 2 to 3 hours after work
each day and then go home."
Some shops at Mong Kok also prominently placed
small slogans like “We Want General Election" outside
the door, or hang a yellow umbrella on the knob.
Since days ago, the number of “Occupy" camps has
increased a lot around Tim Mei Avenue and Legislative
The occupy area has extended close to the
Reacting to this, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
mouthpieces again released articles demanding
Hong Kong police clear those sites.
Lu Weiping, convenor of Rights Watcher Team for Hong Kong
Merchants in Mainland: “They cleared Occupy Central sites,
but there are still many people ‘dove wooing’ in groups.
There have been some other activities from time to time.
Several days ago, hundreds of people walked around
Mong Kok and were consequently warned by police.
Now we are waiting to see the second round of consultation
on the reform plan."
The second phase of the public consultation on political
reform is expected to start next week.
The public is paying close attention to see
how things will change.
Lau Siu Kai, Vice-president of National Association of Study
on Hong Kong and Macau, received a media interview.
Lau said, he was not optimistic toward the second round
of consultation on political reform.
Social conflicts may become a new image of normalcy
in Hong Kong’s politics.
Lau said, the CCP would not like to see any attempt from
Hong Kong to affect the political regime in the mainland,
as Hong Kong has its special advantage in doing this.
The CCP may also seek alliance with Hong Kong’s
conservation force in the future, to resist challenges
from the opposing faction.
By doing this, the CCP can strengthen the authority of
the Hong Kong government.
On the other hand, Hong Kong government is scheduling
to submit a “public opinion report" to Beijing in January.
On Dec.30, 23 legislative council members have publicly
released their own report in advance.
In that report, analysis is given on the development of
occupy movements since the NPC’s Aug-31 Decision.
The report requested the CCP leaders to positively respond to
Hong Kong people’s desire for a general election,
by taking back the Aug-31 Decision and restarting
Leong Kah-kit, convenor of Lunch-box Meetings and
senior lawyer: “23 legislative council members from
Pan-democracy camp will vote against any reform plan
that is enslaved to the NPC’s Aug-31 Decision.
The Central government should not have any illusions
on this issue."
To respond, Constitutional and Mainland Affairs spokesman
said the public opinion report had been done and would
soon be submitted to the CCP’s State Council.
The spokesman said, they didn’t want to see pan-democracy
council members easily speaking of voting down,
as the political system could hardly “improve" in that case.
The World in 2015, a special issue of The Economist,
predicts that Beijing will stick to its current standpoint
in the upcoming year, but meanwhile have to face
another round of street movements in Hong Kong.
This will give Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying another
period of tough days.
The prediction article also says, in 2015, the CCP may declare
a state of emergency in Hong Kong; the CCP may also send
its troops directly into the city’s downtown areas.
Interview/ChenHan Edit/Huang Yimei