No Chance to Enter Central Military Commission: Liu Yuan and Zhang Haiyang Stand in Wrong Team.
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
18th National Congress is drawing nearer.
Senior military leaders are still being changed.
Recently, Ma Xiaotian, former Vice General Chief of Staff
of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was promoted.
Ma is now to be Commander of the PLA Air Force.
Zhang Yang, former Political Commissar of Guangzhou
Military Region was promoted to the position of Director of the PLA General Political Department.
It is said that both of them will enter the Central
Military Commission (CMC) during the 18th Congress.
Liu Yuan, the Political Commissar of the General
and Zhang Haiyang, Political Commissar of the Second
Artillery are described as having stood in the wrong team.
They have been impacted by the Bo Xilai case,
and have no chance of entering the CMC.
On October 25, The Wall Street Journal published
“China Passes Over Bo Allies in Military Shake-Up“.
In the article, the following was reported.
“A lineup of most of the new military command
on the Defense Ministry website also showed that…
General Liu Yuan, one of the two generals considered
particularly close to the ousted party official Bo Xilai,
had been passed over for promotion.”
The article also said: “the changing of the leaderships of
the four General Departments indicates the high-level CCP leaders had agreed the arrangement of the CMC.”
Political Commentator Liu Ming said that whether a CCP
official will be promoted or not, is up to his relationship net.
This means whether he stands in the right team.
He said the CCP officialdom is very cruel.
Once an official stands in the wrong
team, his life as an official is destroyed.
Liu Ming: “It’s very possible that they
were impacted by Bo Xilai’s case.
This is because there’s information
that they are involved in Bo’s coup.
They didn’t express high-profile support
towards Hu Jintao after the Bo Xilai case.
Although they weren’t removed from their position,
Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping are very cautious.
Hu and Xi don’t trust them, and don’t want to risk
the future, so will only promote their confidants.”
After Bo Xilai’s case was exposed, there were rumors
that because Liu Yuan was involved in Bo’s case,
he was removed from the military, or was arrested.
But after Liu Yuan appeared, and was selected
to participate in the 18th Congress, observers thought Bo’s case may not have impacted the military.
Sources revealed that the reason why Liu Yuan can keep
his position is because Xi Jinping is protecting him.
Liu and Xi are princelings, and Xi said in “Self Introduction”
in 2002 ,that Liu Yuan and he “always have same opinions.
Both of them thought China should take a road
that combines industry and agriculture.”
It’s said that they have a deep relationship, and
Xi treats Liu as his back-up power in the PLA.
He wants to promote Liu to enter
the CMC after the 18th Congress.
Last March, when Bo Xilai fell from power, CCP senior
officials in each region openly revealed their attitude on it.
The PLA made many vows to serve Hu Jintao.
On April 6, the “Liberation Army Daily" published an article.
“Don’t be confused by the rumor,
follow the CCP’s command strictly”.
Even many military princelings who had relationships
with Bo Xilai, showed their loyalty towards Hu Jintao.
Zhang Haiyang chose to support Bo Xilai,
and didn’t show his support to Hu Jintao.
The Second Artillery published an article to support
the CCP central committee for dealing with Bo XIlai.
The writer was not the Political Commissar Zhang Haiyang,
but the director of its political office Yin Hailong.
However, political expert Wang Juntao, from U.S.
Columbia University, has a different understanding.
Wang Juntao: “I don’t think they will be removed,
because Xi Jinping may give them a chance.
The key is the relationship between them and Xi Jinping.
Although they are impacted by Bo’s
case, it may be a temporary one.
For example, he didn’t enter the CMC,
or he couldn’t be the vice chairman of CMC.
But after Xi Jinping is on board,
they still have some opportunity.”
Based on the information we obtained, the commanders
for the four PLA General Departments, Navy, Air Force and Second Artillery are now decided.
Fang Fenghui, the commander of Beijing Military Region
will be promoted to be the General Chief of Staff.
This is the first time this has happened.
It has broken rules of practice, showing how
important Fang is for the higher leaders.
Liu Ming: “Now, from the released name list, the
promoted Generals are the confidants of Hu Jintao.
These include Fang Huifeng and Zhang Yang.
All of those Generals showed their
loyalty to Hu Jintao after Bo’s case.
It shows that Hu controls the military completely now,
and can promote the Generals based on his opinions.”
Political commentator Wen Zhao said it still requires time
to see whether Bo Xilai’s coup can be discussed publicly.
However, whether the authorities can separate
from Bo Xilai is also very important.