》(In Line Behind A Billion People: How Scarcity Will Define China's Ascent in the Next Decade)这本书。
New Book: "In Line Behind a Billion People" Makes Xi Jinping Anxious
At present, the growth of China's economy is slowing down,
giving rise to attention inside and outside China.
Damien Ma and William Adams, authors of an American book,
In Line Behind a Billion People: How Scarcity Will Define
China's Ascent in the Next Decade, said:
that the biggest issue for China's growth is "scarcity". This "scarcity"
isn't limited in resources and the availability of primary goods,
but also covers social and political issues.
China issues' expert recommends this book to the international
community and says that this book will help people to understand
why Xi Jinping, the current Chinese president is so anxious.
If you want to know what makes Chinese President
Xi Jinping sleepiness at night, read this book now!
According to the report of "Voice of America", the U.S. China
issues' expert from University of California strongly recommends
the book "In Line Behind A Billion People: How Scarcity Will Define
China's Ascent in the Next Decade".
The writers of the book are Damien Ma, a researcher at
the Paulson Institute and William Adams, senior
international economist at the PNC Financial Services Group.
They discuss the biggest factor which will limit
the development of China in the next decade.
Damien Ma answered when questioned by a Reporter from
U.S. Wall Street Journal, "China was endowed with limited
natural resources from the get-go,
but the incredible resource and energy-intensive growth model
of the last 10-15 years has exerted enormous pressures on these
already scarce endowments
—and the ripple effects of this kind of growth on future development
are going to become more evident over the next decade."
The first one-third of the book analyzes the scarcity of
resources in China which include energy, commodities, food
However, Ma and Adams do not limit the subject matter,
but extend the concept of scarcity to the social and political
Damien Ma: "China still has a sort of 20th century political
system that is trying to deal with 21st century problems and
You can talk about the information environment.
You have an entire generation of people growing in
a society and an environment that is very different from
the political system that were used to.
So in other words, for the last three decades, the system didn't need
to be too sophisticated in managing society, but now I think
it needs to be a lot more sophisticated."
Li Shanjian, a political commentator, "In fact, I think that
the system is always the problem.
It caused the previous problems like the three years of famine
when the entire national economy was on the verge of bankruptcy.
The system also caused the current issues."
The Chinese Government launched anti-corruption activities
and arrested so-called "micro-blog rumor mongers".
Damien Ma thinks these activities have their unsaid reasons.
Damien Ma: "It said will beat fly and tiger. It looks that it beats
fly and tiger. But we think this is not only for political reasons,
but using a political means to start some economic reforms."
They claim in their book that China is short of water,
the environment is deteriorating, food supply is not sufficient.
The geography and natural energy resources are very limited.
All of these issues are hard to solve. Furthermore, the Communist
government made lots of investments in infrastructure,
production and real estate which has created a lot of debts and
With the unenlightened political system, they are factors
that will limit the development of China in the next decade.
Since the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) 18th congress
which took place last year, Xi Jinping the new party leader
launched a series of initiatives.
These initiatives include, "an anti-corruption campaign, changing
work practices, and listening to public opinion",
"Consistent with beating fly and tiger together",
"blacksmith should have muscles", etc..
Recently, Xi Jinping said publicly that "corruption is
getting worse and worse, which will destroy the party,
destroy the country", etc..
The British "Financial Times" published a review article
which said that unfortunately beating corruption in today's
China is basically relying on suing the corrupted officials.
It's not based on reforms of the political, economic,
social systems, which affords a fertile ground for corruption.
Wu Wei, former researcher of Central Political Reform
Institute, "Now, there are a variety of social contradictions.
With economic progress there're all kinds of difficulties.
To solve these issues, he (Xi Jinping) must grasp at the root
of the deep social problems.
Standing on point of the economic development and the
damage of the natural ecology, what's China need now is
a real system reform."
In Line Behind a Billion People also mentions that:
along with the aging Chinese population, the one-child policy
has led to the shortage of employees, college graduates find
it hard to find a job, ordinary people don't have money to pay
for the expensive house, etc..
All of these are risks that the authorities should solve now.