【新唐人2012年11月17日訊】中共十八大常委名單出爐後，讓觀察家大跌眼鏡的是，十八大之後王岐山將「轉軌」，出任中央紀律檢查委員會書記。有分析認為，中共存亡之際，政治是首先要解決的問題，經濟困境就讓李克強組新班底拉破車，能拉一天算一天。
曾被視為常務副總理熱門人選，具有豐富金融財經經歷的中共國務院副總理王岐山，是政治元老姚依林的女婿。從進入中國農村信託投資公司、擔任建設銀行行長、臨危受命被派往廣東清理金融殘局、在「SARS」期間出任北京市市長。因此，王岐山被外界稱為政壇的「救火隊長」。但在中共十八大黨內權力分配之下，王岐山「轉軌」，以政治局常委身份出任中紀委書記。
北京時政觀察人士華頗：「這使人大跌眼鏡。因為，王岐山可以說是小朱鎔基，企業界中國的經濟沙皇。可是，在國際經濟危機持續的情況之下，歐債危機等，中國的增長也趨於下降的情況之下，卻把他進入中紀委，使人大跌眼鏡。」
對此，「普林斯頓大學」社會學博士，旅美中國經濟社會學者程曉農認為，可能是，李克強想用自己的財經班底。
旅美中國經濟社會學者程曉農：「既然李克強要擔任總理，那麼副總理就要由他來安排，他可能不想任命一些比他更資深的人做副手，比他懂得多然後處處指手劃腳，他這總理怎麼當。如果，李克強想連任兩屆，這10年內中國經濟一定會有很大的麻煩。所以，到時候要有替罪羊的話，副總理大概就是最可能的人選。」
有報導指稱，王岐山在這波黨內權力分配中遭到排擠，而接手反腐肅貪的燙手山芋。不過，「紐約（城市）市立大學」經濟學教授陳志飛分析，從另一角度觀察，通過王薄事件之後，中共內部有共識，政法委的權力將下降，中紀委的地位有可能上升。
紐約（城市）市立大學經濟學教授陳志飛：「所以，紀律檢查委員會可能顯示那個權力比較重要，或比較集中、或者有比較大的責任。紀律檢查因為現在關係到它（中共政權）的生存吧，所以從這樣來看，它其實顯示了一個他的地位，並不見得是他被排擠，他的仕途或者工作重心有所改變。」
現任中共國家副主席習近平，週四在與中外記者見面時強調，新形勢下，中共黨內存在著許多極待解決的問題；尤其是，一些黨員幹部中發生的貪污腐敗、脫離群眾等問題，必須花大氣力解決。
分析人士認為，王岐山是「六四」之後趙紫陽身邊碩果僅存的幹將。對中共官場從上到下，「深察官情、善把尺度」。
陳志飛也指出，王岐山沒有派系色彩，可能是他出任中紀委書記的原因。
陳志飛：「而且，他可能也不想揪出真正腐敗的對象。因為，他哪一派也不得罪。現在它（大陸）這個經濟誰能給它很大的起色，不就這麼老牛拉車拖車，拉一天算一天。倒不覺得現在它經濟上真想要有大的作為，政治改革它也不敢有甚麼作為，因為，現在千瘡百孔，它是不想有任何不確定因素，來導致它的覆滅。」
陳志飛進一步分析，中國的經濟問題難有起色。他說，中共當局正遭遇前所未有的生存危機，它的目光已轉向自身的問題、和反腐、民怨及社會矛盾問題。從7常委名單的安排觀察，不難看出主次問題。
另外，央行行長周小川，不在出爐的中央委員會名單上。外界猜測，周小川可能在幾個月內退休。
原「中國社科院金融發展室」主任、經濟學家易憲容認為，要等央行行長和財政部長的人選決定之後，才能對未來掌管經濟的新班底有所觀察。
採訪編輯/梁欣 後製/鍾元
Wang Qishan changed his occupation: Li Keqiang’s team face a severe situation.
Once the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) new leader group
launched, to everyone’s surprise,
Wang Qishan became the Secretary of Central Commission
for Discipline Inspection (CCFDI).
For the CCP facing life and death, politics is the primary issue
that they should solve.
Under the difficult economic situation, the CCP got Li Keqiang
to create a new team to solve the problem.
Looked on as a popular candidate for Deputy Prime Minister,
with extensive financial experience,
vice premier Wang Qishan is the son-in-law of Yao Yilin,
veteran member of the CCP.
Joining the China Rural Trust and Investment Company,
serving as president of China Construction Bank,
sent to Guangdong to clean up financial issues,
serving as Beijing major during “SARS”,
Wang Qishan was looked on as the “fire captain” of the CCP.
However, under the power distribution of the 18th Party congress,
Wang changed his occupation to Secretary of CCFDI.
Beijing political observer Hua Po: “it’s very strange. Wang is
‘little Zhu Rongji’ the economical Tsar in Chinese enterprises.
However, due to the international economic crisis, European
debt crisis and slowdown of Chinese economic growth, that he serves in the CCFDI, is so strange.
For this phenomena, Chinese PhD economics scholar of
U.S. Princeton University Cheng Xiaonong thinks that
probably Li Keqiang wants to use one of his own people.
Cheng Xiaonong: “Since as premier,
Li will appoint a vice premier,
he probably doesn’t want a deputy more experienced
than he is.
If the deputy knew more than him,
how can he do the premier’s role?
If Li Keqiang wants two consecutive terms, however,
Chinese economics will be in big trouble in ten years time.
The vice premier will be the most likely candidate as the
scapegoat at that time.”
Some reports claimed that Wang Qishan was crowded out
in the power distribution and receiving the Hot Potato which is fight against corruption.
However, economics professor of City University of New York
Chen Zhifei analyzed that from another angle.
After the event of Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai,
there a consensus inside the CCP.
That is: the power of Politics and Law Committee will be
dropped and the status of the CCFDI may rise.
Chen Zhifei: “So, the power of the CCFDI may be more
Important or more centralized, or have more duties.
Because discipline inspection is related to the CCP’S life
or death, its status is more important.
So, from this point, he is not crowded out,
only his work focus has changed.”
On Thursday, when meeting international and domestic press
current Vice Chairman Xi Jinping emphasized that
under new circumstances many problems should be solved
inside the CCP.
Especially, the corruption from Party members and taking
resources away from the citizens, it must take strength to resolve.
Analyst thought that Wang Qishan is the only remaining
go-getter around Zhao Ziyang after June Fourth Incident.
He is very familiar with and accurately
grasps the process of Chinese officialdom.
Chen Zhifei also said that Wang Qishan had no faction color,
probably why he was appointed as the CCFDI secretary.
Chen Zhifei: “It is impossible for him to find out true corrupt
elements, as he didn’t want to offend any factions.
Now, no one can benefit from the mainland economic
situation, only let him drift along.
It can’t take any action for economic or political reform.
Because, under such a critical situation, the regime doesn’t
want to take any risk that could cause it’s collapse.”
Chen Zhifei further analyzed that it’s difficult for
Chinese economics to improve.
He said that the CCP regime was facing an unprecedented
survival crisis.
Its attention had changed to its own problem, against corruption,
peoples’ complaints and social conflict problems.
From the list of the seven standing committee members,
we can see the primary and secondary issues.
Also Central Bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan isn’t in the list
of the Central Committee members.
Outside guessed that Zhou would retire in a few months.
Former Director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,
Financial Development Room economist Yi Xianrong thinks
we can observe the new group’s actions.
The new group will change the economics after the new Central
Bank governor and financial department minister were appointed.
