【新唐人2013年03月06日訊】中國各界要求結束中共一黨專政、實行民主憲政的呼聲日益高漲。最近，中國一名女富豪在接受美國媒體訪問時，主動提出「中國人最想要民主」。觀察人士指出，中國正處在民主革命的前夜，變革已是不可避免。
中國知名地產發展商、S0HO中國行政總裁張欣，日前在接受美國「CBS」皇牌新聞節目「60分鐘(60Minutes)」訪問時，語出驚人的說：「如果你問在中國生活的中國人，每一個人最渴望的，不是食物，不是房子，而是民主。」
據香港《主場新聞》（House News)新聞網站報導，「60分鐘」這一集節目的內容主要是介紹北京「地產大亨」張欣，以及中國近二十年的房地產發展。主持人沒有問及任何有關地產以外的問題，張欣卻自動爆出「中國人最想要民主」這樣的話，使資深主持人Lesley Stahl也感意外。
北京時政觀察人士華頗指出，中國正處在民主革命的前夜，這是各階層人士都有的共識，如果不實行民主憲政，很可能發生暴力革命，導致玉石俱焚，對於廣大民眾，失去的是鎖鏈，得到的是整個世界。
北京時政觀察人士華頗：「而相對這些地產大亨來說，他們身上不僅僅是鎖鏈，他們擁有的東西太多太多，所以他們最怕的是中國發生暴力的改變，以前他們同意穩定，但是以前暴力維穩和模式已經走到盡頭，越維穩越不穩，所以他們也看到了，中國只有實行憲政民主才能保障他們的一切。」
日本《外交》雜誌，2月曾刊載一篇「中國邁向民主化的5種可能」文章，文章直指未來10到15年內，民主化中國的實現將是「不可避免」。
文中回顧各國邁向民主的歷程。其中分析，有兩個因素是中共專制政權更替和崩潰的條件：首先就是一黨專制。分析說，一黨專制無論如何精良，仍會受到組織老化與衰變的影響，而且專權的制度，導致腐敗加劇、管治惡化，與群眾日益疏遠。
時政評論員汪北稷指出，中共腐敗墮落的獨裁統治，造成了中國的貧富差別懸殊，看似國民經濟增強了，但仍有一部分人掙紮在貧困線上。
時政評論員汪北稷：「在人的溫飽，在基本的生活沒有得到滿足的時候，他可能很多層面上去考慮他的溫飽問題，生存問題。就是中國人，既需要豐衣足食，也需要安居樂業，也需要很好的體現尊嚴的經濟、實惠的住宅，更需要民主權利。」
張欣認為，中國的「民主不用20年就會到來」。而中共新總書記習近平「清華大學」博士論文導師—-孫立平教授則認為：「一場靜悄悄的革命已經發生」，他預言「十年可能到不了，五年可能差不多」。
華頗表示贊同孫立平的觀點。他認為，中國發生變革已是不可避免，但怎麼變，就看執政者是真改革？還是假改革？
華頗：「如果執政者還是頑固的堅持不進行憲政民主的話，這個非常有可能暴力革命在中國發生，雖然這是人們不願看到的，但是，暴力革命是否發生，不是以人的意志為轉移的，中共手裡還是有很多牌可以打的，習近平說的『憲政夢』的關鍵，我覺得還是在落實，落實限制黨權，擴大民權，落實憲法關於保障民權的條款。」
華頗還表示，目前就看中共是否順應民意，開放言禁、報禁、黨禁，拋棄暴力。或者還是繼續拒絕民主，執意玩火，以至最終導致民眾徹底失望，舉國爆發革命，將中共永久吞沒。
採訪編輯/李韻 後製/李智遠
Democratic Reform Is Inevitable for China
Chinese people from all walks of life are demanding an end
to Chinese Communist Party (CCP) one-party dictatorship.
Their calls for democracy grow louder and louder.
Recently, a wealthy Chinese woman told an interviewer
that Chinese people want democracy the most.
Observers point out that China is on the eve of a
democratic revolution, and changes are inevitable.
Zhang Xin, CEO of SOHO, China’s leading
real estate developers, has stunned the world
during an interview on CBS’ “60 Minutes”.
He said, “if you ask people in China, what they want
the most is not food, not a house, but democracy."
Hong Kong’s House News website reported that “60 Minutes"
mainly introduces the Beijing real estate tycoon Zhang Xin
and nearly two decades of real estate development.
The host did not ask any question outside of real estate.
Zhang Xin’s remark, regarding “what Chinese people want
the most," even surprised senior moderator, Lesley Stahl.
Hua Po, current affairs observer in Beijing, points out
that China is on the eve of a democratic revolution.
This has the consensus of people from all walks of life.
If constitutional democracy is not implemented, there may
be a violent revolution, and may lead to a total destruction.
For the majority of Chinese people, they will
gain the whole world and lose their shackles.
Hua Po: “These real estate tycoons have
too many things, including the shackles.
They are most afraid of a violent reform.
They agreed to stability before, however, the
mode of maintaining stability has come to an end.
The more the regime tries to maintain
stability, the less stable the country becomes.
Only when China implements
democracy will the rich be protected.”
In February, Japan’s “Foreign Affairs"
magazine published an article, entitled:
“Five possibilities for China marching toward democracy.”
The article pointed out that in the next 5-10
years, democratization of China is unavoidable.
It listed the democratic history of many countries.
In its analysis, there are two factors deciding
the collapse and replacement of the CCP.
The first is a one-party dictatorship.
Analysts say that a one-party dictatorship,
however sophisticated, will continue to suffer the effects of aging and decaying.
In addition, increasing corruption and deterioration of
governance also estrange the regime from the masses.
Wang Bei-Ji, current affairs commentator pointed
out that the rottenness of the CCP’s authoritarian
rule results in disparities of rich and poor in China.
The nation’s economy seems enhanced, but many
people are still struggling below the poverty line.
Wang Bei-Ji: “When food and clothing needs
are not met, one may consider his food and
clothing problem, one’s survival from many levels.
Chinese people not only need food and
clothing, but also work and comfort in life.
In addition to a dignified economy, affordable
housing, they also need democracy the most."
Zhang Xin believes democracy will come within 20 years.
Tsinghua University Professor Sun Liping,
doctoral dissertation advisor of Xi Jinping said
that a quiet revolution has occurred. Sun predicted
that it may not take 10 years, but five years will do.
Hua Po agreed with Sun Liping’s view.
He believes that reform is inevitable,
but how depends on those in power.
Do they really want to reform, or
just to fool the Chinese people?
Hua Po: “If rulers are stubborn and refuse
to implement constitutional democracy, this very likely results in a violent revolution.
Although people do not want to see it happen, violent
revolution does occur, or not cannot be easily altered.
The CCP still has many trump cards to play. The key
of Xi Jinping’s “constitutional dream"is implementation.
I believe implementing it will limit the party’s
power, expand civil rights, and protect civil rights.”
Hua Po said that nowadays, we need to see whether
the CCP will heed public opinion and abandon violence.
This includes banning words,
newspapers and political parties.
If the CCP refuses to accept democracy and continues
to play with fire, the masses will be totally disappointed.
An outbreak of a nationwide revolution
will occur to permanently destroy the CCP.
