【新唐人2012年12月10日訊】剛剛在中央高調反腐的中共新任總書記習近平，首站出訪廣東深圳。深圳是鄧小平「南巡講話」後的改革開放前沿地，而廣東也在呼應官員財產公開，因此令外界猜測，習近平是否有意將政改的試點放在廣東。評論認為，習近平想效仿鄧小平改革，就如同「帶著鎖鐐跳舞」，徒勞無功，完全是死路一條。下面一起去聽聽專家怎麼說。
中共總書記習近平新官上任後，首站出訪深圳和廣州。深圳是鄧小平1992年發表「南巡講話」的所在地，以及首批改革開放地區。而習近平的父親習仲勳，在1978年到1980年主政廣東時，就提出廣東特殊經濟政策，「89六四」後，習仲勳長期住在深圳。
媒體普遍認為，習近平接任中共總書記後，首次的出訪選擇「深圳」，意在展現力挺改革開放的態度、並且塑造開明形象。
時事評論員汪北稷：「習近平當選之後到鄧小平南巡的廣州、深圳去，到他父親工作的廣東去，給中國人民一個幻想錯覺，（習近平）會改革開放，會沿著父親或鄧小平改革的道路去走，但是同時他也宣告了﹕這種走法也是要在保證共產黨集權統治的情況下走。」
美國「喬治梅森大學」教授、時事評論家章天亮認為，習近平不管他做甚麼姿態，只要他不改變，結束一黨專政的這種體制的話，不會有任何前途。
美「喬治梅森大學」教授章天亮﹕「他（習近平）到廣東的話，實際上為了宣示他這種改革的形象，鄧小平當年南巡的時候是開啟了中國『跛腳鴨式的改革』，就是經濟改、政治不改。鄧小平路線現在已經走不下去，現在大家都看的清楚，如果他延續鄧小平路線的話，還是死路一條。」
香港《明報》報導，廣州與深圳日前清潔環境、綠化裝飾，公安徹查出租屋，意在迎接領導到來。鄧小平1984年曾經造訪的「深圳羅湖漁民村」，最近有大批公安進駐，村內也加強清潔、整修。
報導並表示，中共政治局委員胡春華最近將到廣東上任。而習近平前往廣東與「高唱改革」的省委書記汪洋見面，可能是為中共籠絡民心添加籌碼。汪洋雖「入常」無望，但今後將北上，工作重心轉向中共中央。12月8號，習近平在深圳福田向鄧小平像獻花及植樹，廣東省委書記汪洋全程陪同。
對於習近平出訪廣東，時事評論員汪北稷認為，中共的問題在於它存在的「不合法性」，應該追究它的罪行問題，而不是講求怎麼發展，謀求甚麼經濟上的改革開放。
汪北稷表示，中國現在即使繼續延續鄧小平的做法，在經濟表面上開放，但是，仍然沒有形成真正意義上的「自由市場」公平競爭的經濟形式。中共的「寡頭財閥」依舊壟斷整個社會的資源和財富，從經濟上奴役整個國家的人民。在這種狀況下，中國的經濟還是悲觀的。
時事評論員汪北稷﹕「中共現在陷入自我的幻想當中，政治上繼續保守，經濟上繼續推動才能夠維持，這是它自己單方面的想法，帶著腳鐐和鎖鐐跳舞，所謂的反腐敗，所謂的改革開放，實際上中國人民已經厭倦，只是從一個地區、兩個地區的貪腐上做文章，不從中共體制的根子上做文章，是沒有用的。」
汪北稷進一步分析說，習近平如果要效仿鄧小平改革，就等於拿著一個過時的劇本去唱，還是跳不出中共滅亡的命運。中國需要的是徹底解體中共，從上至下完全脫胎換骨的變革，而不是延續中共的生命，否則，不管包裝了多少貌似開明、開放的地區，對於中國的未來都毫無意義。
採訪/常春 編輯/許旻 後製/周天
Xi Jinping’s First Visit to Shenzhen with His New Post
to Emulate Deng Xiaoping?
After his anti-corruption talk at the central, Chinese
Communist Party’s new General Secretary Xi Jinping paid his first visit to Shenzhen, Guangdong.
Shenzhen was Deng Xiaoping’s reform frontier during
his Tour to the South.
Official property declaration system is currently talked
highly about in Guangdong.
Guangdong is speculated to be the political reform
pilot station for Xi Jinping.
Xi Jinping’s intention to mimic Deng Xiaoping’s reform
is said to be at a dead end.
The following is our experts’ analysis.
The Communist Party’s new General Secretary, Xi Jinping,
went Shenzhen and Guangzhou for his first official visit.
Deng Xiaoping delivered his speech
during his Tour to the South in Shenzhen, 1992.
Shenzhen also became the first area to reform and
develop during Deng’s era.
Xi Zhongxun, Xi Jinping’s father, proposed special
economic policies in Guangdong when he held the power in Guangdong from 1978 to 1980.
Xi Zhongxun has lived in Shenzhen
after the 1989 student movement.
he media believed that Xi Jinping chose Shenzhen as his
first official visit with his new title meant to demonstrate his support to the reform and his open image.
Political commentator Wang Beiji: “After Xi Jinping was
elected, he visited Guangzhou where Deng Xiaoping went
on his Tour to the South and to Guangdong
where his father worked.
It serves as an illusion that he will follow Deng
and his father to conduct reform and be open.
However, he has also announced that he will pursue
his political idea while the communist ruling is ensured.”
George Mason University professor and
current affairs commentator, Zhang Tianliang,
does not believe there’s any future
as long as Xi Jinping continues the one-party dictatorship.
Professor Zhang Tianliang: “He (Xi Jinping) only went to
Guangdong to proclaim his reform image.
Deng Xiaoping’s Tour to the South started the
“lame duck reform”, that is the economic reform,
but not political reform. Deng’s reform is going nowhere now.
If he continues Deng’s strategy, it’s still a dead end."
Hong Kong’s Ming Pao News reported Guangzhou and
Shenzhen have prepared for the leader’s visit by conducting area cleaning, decoration, and security check of rentals.
Luohu fishermen village where Deng Xiaoping visited in 1984
has also conducted series of cleaning and repairing.
Politburo member Hu Chunhua will also soon
assume his post in Guangdong.
Xi Jinping’s visit Guangdong Communist Party Secretary
Wang Yang is believed a political chip to win people』s support.
Wang Yang has also promoted reform.
Even failed to be a Standing Committee, Wang Yang will
assume his new role in the Communist Central Committee.
With Wang Yang’s accompany, Xi Jinping visited Shenzhen
Futian where Deng Xiaoping’s portrait was installed on December 8.
As for Xi Jinping’s visit to Guangdong,
political commentator Wang Beiji comments that the Communist regime lacks legitimacy,
and it is the crime it’s committed,
not the economy or reform that needs to be addressed.
Wang Beiji indicates Deng Xiaoping’s economic reform has
been superficial. It lacks free market and fair competition.
Communist regime has monopolized resources and
wealth of the society as a whole,
and conducted economic enslavement of the people
of the whole country.
Under such circumstances,
China’s economy is still pessimistic.
Political commentator Wang Beiji:
“The Communist Party is in an illusion of self.
It believes that only to continue political control and
economical development will the regime sustain.
It’s actually like dancing with leg shackles.
The Chinese is tired of so-called anti-corruption, reform and opening up.
It is no use to fuss in one or two regions,
but not to change from the root of the communist system."
Wang Beiji criticizes that Xi Jinping’s following Deng
Xiaoping’s outdated script will not save the Communist.
China needs to disintegrate the Communist Party,
but not to continue the Communist regime.
Any further seemingly open and reform in areas
means nothing to the future of China.
