Three Considerations on Bo Xilai Case
Bo Xilai, former Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
Secretary of Chonqing will be put on trial in Jinan
Intermediate Court in Shandong Province this July
or August, but not Chengdu Intermediate Court.
Experts analyzed that it involves three
political considerations in the Bo Xilai case,
which gave the Chinese authorities a dilemma.
At the end of 2012, Bo Xilai was formally arrested
by the Beijing Procuratorate, with unknown charges.
Usually, when CCP officials were arrested, state
media Xinhua News Agency would release news.
This did not happen for the Bo case.
Radio France Internationale (RFI) believe that this
might be because the charges brought against
Bo Xilai are yet to be decided by various factions.
The Shanghai correspondent of RFI quoted informants.
Bo Xilai’s case would soon be on
trial in Jinan, Shandong Province.
A month ago, the case was transferred
to the Procuratorate in Shandong.
Personnel had been sent to Beijing to
read about the case, to prepare for the trial.
Yao Jianfu, former researcher of the State
Council Research and Development Center:
“I guess it should be before the third Plenary.
If the third Plenary was not confirmed,
it may be prolonged to fourth Plenary.
In that case, it is too long. So there
should be a conclusion on it.”
It has been reported that after Bo Xilai was officially
detained, he has been kept in Qincheng Prison.
Bo is now still in Beijing. It is said he may
be sent to Shandong when he is put on trial.
Deng Yuwen, former deputy editor
of Central CCP School Study Times:
“I think it is possible. It may take advantage
of the sentence of Liu Zhijun, or else it would
have more trouble when postponed for too long.”
Deputy editor Deng Yuwen estimated that Bo is likely to
be sentenced to death, with a reprieve similar to Liu Zhijun.
Currently, Bo has only been charged with bribery.
Wealthy businessman Xu Ming, in Dalian,
provided Bo Guagua, the son of Bo Xilai
with about 6 million Yuan for overseas study.
Deng Yuwen: “If he is only charged for bribery,
he may even not be sentenced to death, with reprieve.
Nor life imprisonment, but may
be just a fixed-term imprisonment.
It is certainly too far from what the people had known.
There are many discussions about this now, and it could not
just involve 6 million Yuan in bribery for this level of official.
Even for a low-level official, he could have
taken tens of millions of Yuan in bribery.”
Yao Jianfu, former researcher of the State Council Research
and Development Center, pointed out that the political case
of Bo Xilai is dealt with as an economic case by the regime.
Yao Jianfu: “By treating him as an economic criminal
instead of a political criminal, the CCP is ready to be lenient.
According to Wen Jiabao’s speech, Wen had taken
Bo as the Cultural Revolution-style routing issue.
If it is the problem, he should be a political prisoner.”
Deng Yuwen believes that the authorities have three
political considerations in dealing with Bo Xilai.
Deng Yuwen: “Firstly, it impacts the image of the CCP,
which is one of the biggest issues to consider.
If the amount of bribery involved was too large, it is bad for
the image of CCP; but if too small, the people won’t believe it.
The second consideration is the princelings and CCP
veterans, so it has to consider the interests of princelings.
If Bo was sentenced to death, it cannot
reassure princelings or the veterans of CCP.
If Bo was sentenced too lightly, it cannot assure the people.
In addition, there is consideration of the so-called
political opponents. It may leave a handle.”
It is reported that if Bo Xilai pleaded guilty for
funds provided to Bo Guagua by Xu Ming, it
would be so Bo Guagua could be without guilt.
On the contrary, Bo Guagua may face judicial prosecution.
Rhis may be the key for Bo Xilai’s
guilty plea in the future.
The report also said Bo’s home quarantine
examination lasted less than a month.
Bo was sent to Zhongnanhai on April 9.
He Guoqiang, a Politburo Standing Committee
member and Secretary of the Central Discipline
Inspection Commission, had official talks with him.
The next day, Beijing announced through official
state media that Bo would be dismissed from
his position as a member of the Politburo.
The Central Committee, and the Central Discipline
Inspection Commission performed investigation against him.
Subsequently, Bo had nearly six
months of “double regulations.”
On September 28 2012, it was officially announced that
Bo Xilai was dismissed from the CCP, and public office.
Official state media subsequently
cited Bo Xilai several counts.
This includes abuse of power of Bo Xilai in the case
of intentional homicide by Wang Lijun and Gu Kailai;
serious mistakes and heavy responsibilities; making
money for others with the use of his authority;
accepting huge bribes directly, and through his family;
having improper sexual relations with a number of women;
violating organizational and personnel discipline;
misusing officials, which resulted in serious consequences.
It also found other indicators of Bo’s crimes.