【新唐人2013年08月09日讯】近来，中国大陆30个省份陆续公布了上半年经济数据，已公布省份的GDP之和超出中共国家统计局公布的全国GDP，约3万亿之多。近26年来，中共中央与地方的GDP数据一直在“打架”，但每年这场“双簧”都被拆穿。下面请让专家带我们去识破，中共今年的又一次骗局。
据大陆媒体报导，截至目前，除青海省外，大陆其他省份均公布了今年的“经济半年报”。各地GDP增速普遍回落，但全部高于7.6%的全国上半年总体增速。已经发布的30个省级行政区GDP总和为27.96万亿元，比国家统计局公布的全国24.8万亿元总量，多出3.16万亿元。
为什么会出现地方和国家统计局的统计数据不是一个口径，这种奇怪的现象？北京《国情内参》首席研究员巩胜利进行了分析。
北京《国情内参》首席研究员巩胜利：“省里面考核的是县、市、区的干部，你县、区报上来后，省就知道你这个县、市的干部干得怎么样，可能会牵扯到升官或者换人。那么地方的县、区领导可能就会调整它的数字。这是最重要的一个因素。”
《中国经营报》披露，自1985年开始，中共中央和地方在GDP数据上的“不同步”已成为常态。
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田：“中国的GDP已经是世界级的笑话，没有人相信，连中共自己都不相信，中共自己的总理都公开告诉美国人，他自己都不相信。所以现在还继续拿出这种造假的数据来，简直是在国际上丢丑、丢脸。”
美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田认为，现在当局再次搞出中央和地方数据不吻合的笑话，毫不奇怪。
谢田：“很显然，它就是‘数字出官、官出数字’，按那些学者的讲法。它实际上就是层层加码，越往下越大。每一层都要下面加码。下面加起来以后一定是超过上级所需要的。这样他就可以在政绩上显得他做的还不错。所以肯定是全部是虚假的，层层是虚假，全面造假，通通是假的。”
中共国家统计局此前解释声称，地方有重复计算的成分以及“水分”。也有专家解释，这主要是因为中国存在一些重复或交叉计算的情况。
但网友们对此显然不买账，一位自称前资深小报记者的网友质问：数据差距有12%左右，这问题年年在讲，年年有发，不知道统计局每年是怎么过关的？纳税人养的统计局是不是算是渎职？
网友“心中还有太阳”则直接讽刺，这是双簧没学好，穿帮啦。
巩胜利指出，如果统计数据出现错误，那直接影响政府的经济决策。
巩胜利：“因为现在中国最主要的是靠投资拉动，如果不准确的话，像‘钱荒’这样的事情，可能会频繁地出现。如果数据有错，那么布局、货币投放那是非常难的事情。还有一个最关键的，就是中国现在的出口一直在往下掉。”
香港《经济日报》刊文指称，虽然中共中央领导层多次声称，“不再简单以GDP论英雄”。但是到目前为止，各地仍未见有订出其他方面考核官员的指标。而地方官员仍然持有GDP至上的思维，这会让所有的民生改善、生态效益等，都成为空谈。
此外，据报导，一些地方的GDP、财政增长与用电量不匹配。以广州为例，今年1至5月GDP同比增长12.9%，但用电量同比下降0.1%，5月用电量同比下降0.3%。
采访/刘惠 编辑/王子琦 后制/王明宇
Different Local and Central GDP Statistics Expose Chinese Communist Party Scam
Recently, the 30 provinces in mainland China released
their economic statistics for the first half of the year.
This was the sum of provincial GDP (Gross domestic product)
at three trillion more than the statistic published by the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) National Bureau of Statistics (NBC).
For 26 years, data from CCP Central and local government
are always in conflict with each other.
Every year this “two-man comic show" has been debunked.
Let us follow the experts to discover the CCP’s scam this year.
According to mainland media, other than Qinghai Province,
the other provinces have announced the year’s Economic Update.
The GDP growth generally fell overall, but all were higher than
the 7,6% overall growth rate of China for the first half of 2013.
The sum of the 30 provinces’ GDP is 27.96 trillion, 3.16 trillion
more than the national GDP 24,8 trillion released by NBS.
Why does the strange phenomenon occur that
local and central statistics are different?
Gong Shengli, lead researcher of Beijing “Internal
Conditions References" analyzed as follows:
Gong Shengli: “At the provincial level
they assess the county, city and district cadres.
After the figures are reported, the provincial cadres know
how well other cadres in the county or city are doing.
It might relate to promotion or substitutions of cadres.
The cadres in the county or district may adjust the figures,
this is the most important factor."
“China Business News" revealed that since 1985, it has become
accepted that CCP central and local GDP data is “out of sync".
University of South Carolina Aiken School of Business
Professor Xie Tian: “China’s GDP is already a world-class joke.
No one believes it, not even the CCP itself believes it.
The CCP Premier even told the Americans publicly
that he does not believe it himself.
So now it is using the fake data and
simply embarrassing itself in the world."
Professor Xie Tian believes that it is not surprising that
central and local authorities come with different figures again.
Xie Tian: “Obviously, it is the “figures makes the officer,
and the officer makes the figures", according to the scholars.
It actually adds layer by layer, so the added sum from
the lower end must exceed the upper needs.
This way he can make himself look good on the surface.
So all must be fake, because each layer is fully fabricated."
The CCP National Bureau of Statistics explained previously
that, the local counting had some inefficiency.
Some experts also explained that this is mainly because
China has some duplication or cross counting.
However, obviously the netizens do not buy this.
One netizen who claims to be a former senior reporter
questioned: “The difference between the figures is about 12%.
This issue has been discussed every year,
I do not know how the NBS evaluated the data?
Does the NBS waste the taxpayer’s money
and is it dereliction of duty?"
Netizen “Sun in the heart" satirizes directly that it is the
“two-man comic show" which is not going well.
Gong Shengli pointed out that the mistake in the statistics
will directly affect the government’s economic policies.
Gong Shengli: “China still depends on foreign investments, if
the statistic is not accurate,"money shortage" will often occur.
If the statistics are wrong, it will be very difficult
to manage the layout and money supply.
Another key point is that China’s export is
decreasing continuously."
Hong Kong “Economic Daily"pointed out that
CCP central leaders claim many times they no longer
simply depend on GDP growth to evaluate the economy.
So far no assessments of officers in any other aspects
have been decided.
Local officers still say GDP is the most important thing, making
improvement of peoples’lives and eco-efficiency empty talk.
In addition, according to the report, GDP, financial growth
and electricity consumption do not match.
E.g, in Guangzhou, the GDP growth from January to May
increased by 12.9% while electricity consumption total decreased 0.1% .
In the month of May, this decreased 0.3%.
