【新唐人2011年12月26日讯】日前，铁道部部长盛光祖首次承认，中国铁路建设中存在规模过大、盲目压缩工期等问题，并声称，杜绝客车事故是明年最重要的目标之一。有学者认为，铁道部年年喊的口号—-“安全第一”从未实现过。而“大跃进”的建设过后，缩减投资是不得已做法。
盛光祖在铁道部全国铁路工作会议上声称，2012年将安排铁路固定资产投资5000亿元人民币，其中基本建设投资4000亿。他还透露，在即将过去的2011年，全国铁路预计完成基本建设投资4690亿。据了解，去年﹙2010年﹚铁路共完成固定资产投资约8300亿，其中基本建设投资完成7100亿。
对比数据显示，今年铁道部缩减了固定投资及基建投资规模，明年则将继续缩减铁路投资规模。
前大陆铁路工程师詹先生认为，去年和今年高铁项目暴增，在资金没有完全落实的情况下盲目开工，直到温州动车追尾事故后才被发掘出来。
詹先生：“铁道部今年已经不得已把明年的铁路债券拿到今年来发了，但实际上仍然是杯水车薪，最后很多工程都被迫停工了。这样的情况下，应该说明年很显然，他已经没有更多的资金来去开工更多的项目了。盛光祖在讲话中实际上自己也承认项目是冒进了，就是包括高铁。这个反映出这个铁路，高铁项目盲目上马，特别是借着高铁的名义，实际是在贪腐的利益驱动下搞天价工程。”
美国南卡罗来纳大学教授谢田指出，这实际上是跟中共以“铁公鸡”这种大规模的基础建设，来带动经济，以求达到GDP的虚假增长有关系。
谢田：“这个本来就是没有经过一个充分的规划，充分的融资和全盘的考虑而贸然上的像‘大跃进’式的项目。”
有报导说，目前铁路停建项目陆续开工大概需要2000亿，加上今年﹙2011年﹚剩余的3000亿投资，以及需要偿还的各项融资成本及费用约3400亿，资金缺口约8000多亿。因此，明年即便铁道部安排基建投资4000亿元，资金缺口仍然巨大。
盛光祖在会上还声称，杜绝旅客死亡的客车事故是明年最重要的目标之一。
詹先生：“其实这种口号一直都不新鲜。这种口号在铁道部可以说是年年喊，月月喊，但实际上从来没有实现过。这也是中共之下‘口号管理’的特征，就是安全管理历来就是靠运动，靠搞口号的方式进行，而不是靠严格的制度，靠认真保养的设备和高素质的人员。”
谢田认为，铁道部优先考虑的是捞钱，政绩和所谓的GDP。
谢田：“实际上日本人早就指出这一点。他们设计这些动车组也好，或者高铁也好，他有设一个时速上限。超过那部分，日本人那麽先进的技术，他们都不敢保证。中共拿来后随便上马，胡乱追求高速度，胡乱追求创造什么世界记录。这实际上就是无视中国老百姓的生命安全。”
此外，《中国经济网》报导，在铁路工作会议召开前，来自多个省级行政区的党委和政府高官，密集进京公关，拜会盛光祖和相关铁道部官员，以确保当地的项目不会因为铁道部缩减投资而在下一年被砍掉。
报导引述一位专家的话表示，很多铁路线路都是各种利益博弈的产物，这些博弈在资金匮乏的2012年或将更加激烈。
新唐人记者林莉、李明飞、王明宇采访报导。
Great-Leap-Forward-like Construction Admits China Ministry of Railways
China’s railway Minister Sheng Guangzu admitted problems
in railway construction.
Caused from blindly enlarging projects in scale, and
recklessly shortening project schedules.
Sheng claimed eradication of accidents in passenger trains is
the most important goal in 2012.
Scholars question, that although China’s Ministry of Railways
claims “safety first”, it has never been realized.
Sheng has to reduce financial investment due to no funds,
creating a scenario reminiscent of the Great-Leap-Forward.
Sheng Guangzu’s speech in a recent conference claims the
Ministry of Railways will invest 500 billion Yuan in 2012.
This will include 400 billion Yuan into infrastructure.
Sheng also states a total investment of 830 Billion Yuan,
including 469 Billion in 2011, and 710 Billion in 2010.
Data comparison, however, shows a reduction of investment
in 2011 by the Ministry of Railway.
This trend is expected to continue into next year.
Wei Jingze, an Associate Professor of Economics highlighted
a boom in high-speed rail projects in the past two years.
Many went into operation without funding, a fact not known
by the public until the bullet train accident in Wenzhou City.
Wei Jingze:”The Ministry of Railways has been forced to have
next year’s bonds issued this year, but it won’t help much.
Many projects have to be suspended, and it’s clear to see there
is not enough funding for new projects.
Sheng himself admitted this, suggesting rash decisions have
been made in many projects, including high-speed rail.
What we can see is that, Ministry of Railway leaders were
pushing high-speed rail projects.
This is so they can benefit through corruption.”
Xie Tian, University of South Carolina Economics Professor,
said the whole situation is related to CCP economic strategies.
It tries to push the economy forward through large-scale
infrastructure to get an attractive GDP growth value.
(Xie Tian):”From the beginning, this high-speed rail project
has never been carefully planned.
Financial considerations are just as in the Great Leap Forward.”
Report revealed 200 billion Yuan are needed to restart
suspended railway projects.
Deficits total 800 Billion, including 300 billion investment
left in 2011, and 340 billion Yuan of various debts and costs.
It is clear there is still a large hole in funding, even before
investments are reduced to 400 billion Yuan in 2012.
Sheng Guangzu claimed that the most important ministerial
goal in 2012 is eradicating fatal accidents in passenger trains.
Wei Jingze:”There is nothing really new in this announcement.
The Ministry of Railways has been saying this all the time.
But the idea of “safety first” has never been realized, a typical
characteristics of the CCP’s “slogan management”.
CCP management is carried out by movements or slogans
rather than strict regulations, well-maintained equipment and well-trained staff.”
Xie Tian believes that Ministry of Railway leaders only care
about making money, seeking political advantage.
This is to increase the value of GDP growth.
Xie tian: “Japanese experts stated a long time ago about time
restrictions in designing bullet trains or high-speed rail.
If you exceed those limts, even the Japanese cannot guarantee
operational safety, despite their advanced level of technology.
CCP ignored all warnings, carelessly chasing higher speeds,
or making world records, risking Chinese civilian lives.”
According to ‘China Economic Net’ reports, party leaders and
government officials from many provinces travelled to Beijing.
This was done secretly before the National Railway Work
Conference, visiting Sheng Guangzu and other officials.
The meetings were to ensure local projects aren’t cut in 2012,
due to investment reduction.
Reports cited words from an expert that construction of many
railway lines resulted from political battles for benefits.
These battles are expected to become more intensive under
funding shortages in 2012.
NTD reporter Lin Li, Li Mingfei and Wang Mingyu
