【新唐人2012年10月27日訊】中共軍隊繼空軍司令和政委換班後，10月25號，解放軍四總部最高領導也換了新面孔，外界注意到，新換上來的首腦，全部是胡錦濤近年來授封的上將級將領。評論認為，胡錦濤在任期間，受盡江澤民人馬的鉗制，少有建樹，這次換上自己的人馬，說明胡錦濤將留任軍委主席協調各方勢力，同時徹底清洗江派，以洗刷自己當「兒皇帝」時無所作為的名聲，同時在中共高層形成胡、習、李三駕馬車，在黨內進行改革。
10月25號，中共國防部網站的軍委總部領導資料庫出現更新，中共軍隊四總部正職人員全部換人。新任總參謀長的是原北京軍區司令員房峰輝，新任總政治部主任的則是原廣州軍區司令員張陽，新上任的總後勤部部長，是原南京軍區司令員趙克石，而總裝備部部長換成了原瀋陽軍區司令員張又俠。
原大陸歷史學教授劉因全，分析這次軍中大換血有三個特點，第一，新提拔的將領大部分來自基層，劉因全認為，來自基層的軍官具有戰鬥力和凝聚力﹔第二，這次屬於江派、薄派、和太子黨的人員，以及有腐敗劣績的官員都沒有得到提拔﹔第三，這一次的大換血是胡錦濤徵求了習近平的意見來主導的。
原大陸歷史學教授 劉因全：「通過四總部的調整以後，這樣胡錦濤就完全掌握了軍隊，掌握了軍權，這樣我們可以預見，通過十八大，胡錦濤把書記交給習近平，然後溫家寶把總理交給李克強，這樣呢，中國就會形成胡、習、李三駕馬車這種局面，就是胡錦濤掌握軍隊，起平衡協調各派的作用，習近平掌黨務，李克強掌行政。」
最新一期的香港《亞洲週刊》推出了中共新的軍委委員名單。名單也顯示，胡錦濤十八大後將連任中共軍委主席。
劉因全指出，目前中共內部形成了毛派、鄧派、江派、團派，太子黨元老派，以及已經掌握中國經濟命脈的既得利益集團派，和黨內開明派等諸多勢力，他們彼此間爭鬥的非常厲害，胡錦濤留任軍委主席有利於制衡各派勢力。
劉因全：「另外就是國際方面，中國周邊的一些國家因為領土領海問題，現在我們看周邊國家搞的很緊張，特別是和日本，現在因為釣魚島問題搞的很緊張，南海問題搞的很緊張，在這種情況下，胡錦濤就有留任軍委主席的迫切性了。」
劉因全還表示，胡錦濤完全控制軍權後，可能徹底清除江澤民培養起來的軍中貪污腐敗勢力，然後，開始大練武，增加軍隊的戰鬥力。
劉因全：「這10幾年來江派一直給胡錦濤搗亂、破壞及打擊胡錦濤的力量，9個常委5個人是江澤民的人，胡錦濤沒辦法幹。一方面他們限制胡錦濤幹事，另一方面又把胡錦濤不幹事的責任戴到胡錦濤頭上去。下一步胡錦濤一定會清理江派，這樣我想有可能會平反一些冤假錯案，包括法輪功，包括平反六四。」
北京時政觀察人士華頗則指出，中共前一屆執政者把自己的方針政策變為祖訓，讓繼任者無條件的遵守，這已經成了中共的傳統。華頗說，中共新政會按照胡溫的意志解決一些民生問題，但很難滿足精英階層的需要。
北京時政觀察人士 華頗：「因為精英階層政治訴求的結果就是：中共交出政權下臺，不管憲政民主也好、普世價值的理念也好、還是司法獨立也好，反正這些訴求不管實行那一條，都意味著動搖了共產黨執政的根本。」
劉因全表示，從目前的情況來看，不能指望中共下一屆新政進行大的政治改革，但有跡象表明，他們會進行黨內民主改革。
採訪編輯/劉惠 後製/孫寧
Hu Jintao Completely Controls Army
The reshuffle of the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP) military continues.
The regime’s People´s Liberation Army
(PLA) just replaced its top leadership.
Observers note that four newly appointed army heads
are Generals who were elevated by Hu Jintao recently.
Commentators say that Hu Jintao was inactive during
his tenure, being subject to Jiang Zemin’s restraint.
This reshuffle indicates that Hu Jintao will stay in charge
of the army, to balance out the CCP’s internal forces.
The new army leadership will help Hu
to completely purge Jiang Zemin’s forces.
Critics think that the CCP ruling elite will follow
the lead of Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, and Li Keqiang.
The CCP is expected to
implement inside Party reform.
On October 25, the CCP Ministry of Defense’s official
website updated the heads of Four Army Headquarters.
The new Chief of the General Staff is Fang Fenghui, and the
new General Political Department Director is Zhang Yang.
Zhao Keshi is the new Chief of General Logistics Department,
and Zhang Youxia is head of General Armament Department.
Liu Yinquan, former history professor,
analyzes this latest CCP army reshuffle.
1. the newly promoted army leaders were mainly from
grassroots, with combat effectiveness and cohesion;
2. the promotions did not include those of
Jiang Zemin’s faction, Bo Xilai’s forces or of any princelings, nor those corrupted officials.
3. Hu Jintao dominated the reshuffle
after having taken advice from Xi Jinping.
Liu Yinquan: “By reshuffling the Four Army Headquarters,
Hu Jintao has completely controlled the army.
At its 18th Party Congress, Hu Jintao will pass his
seat to Xi Jinping, and Wen Jiaobao to Li Keqiang.
We can foresee that China will see a situation under the lead
of three carriages; Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping, and Li Keqiang.
That is, Hu controls the army,
balancing out the CCP internal forces.
Xi leads the CCP, and Li takes
the helm of its Administration."
The latest issue of Hong Kong’s Asia Week exposed a list
of new Central Military Commission (CMC) members.
The list shows that Hu Jintao will stay on as
the CMC chairman after the 18th Party Congress.
Liu Yinquan says that there exist
many forces within the CCP.
They include Maoist forces, Deng Xiaoping forces,
Jiang Zemin’s clique, the Youth League faction,
the princeling clan, the liberal faction and the group
with vested interests, controlling the Chinese economy.
Liu says that infightings among these forces
has intensified.
Hu Jintao maintaining control of the army
will help check and balance these forces.
Liu Yinquan: “Internationally, China faces tense relations
with its neighboring countries, over territorial disputes.
Particularly the Sino-Japanese dispute over the
Diaoyu Islands, and the South China Sea issue.
These issues aroused a pressing need
for Hu Jintao to remain as the head of the army.”
Liu Yinquan adds that full control of the military
would help Hu Jintao to thoroughly purge Jiang’s corruptible forces in the army.
Next, Hu Jinatao will focus on troop
drills, to boost combat effectiveness.
Liu Yinquan: “Over the past decade, Jiang’s clique has long
made trouble, and struck out against Hu Jintao’s faction.
Five out of nine Politburo Standing Committee
members are Jiang Zemin’s cronies.
On one hand, they blocked Hu Jintao playing his role.
On the other hand, they made Hu Jintao
into a scapegoat for crimes irrelevant to him.
Next, Hu Jintao will surely purge Jiang’s clique, I believe.
They might redress some injustices, including vindication
of Falun Gong, and of the June 4th student movement.”
Hua Po, political observer in Beijing,
questions CCP custom practice in politics.
Usually, the CCP’s new leadership will unconditionally
follow the former leadership team』s policies.
Hua Po forecasts that new CCP leaders will solve
some livelihood problems to fulfill Hu-Wen’s wishes.
Yet, it will be hard to truly satisfy the elite echelon.
Hua Po: “The elites’ political pursuit is that
the CCP hands over it’s power, and steps down.
No matter whether it is to realize a constitutional democracy,
or to pursue universal values or judicial independence,
all these have shaken the basis of CCP rule."
Liu Yinquan does not expect that the CCP’s new leadership
will launch major political reforms, given the current situation.
Yet, there are signs showing that the CCP will carry
out inside-Party democratic reforms, speculates Liu.
