【新唐人2014年05月20日讯】5月20号中国和俄罗斯开始第三次联合军事演习。大陆军方声明，演习不针对第三方，而官方媒体却报导﹕联合军演“意味着俄支持我东海识别区”，“可震慑周边国家”等。中、俄为什么要联合进行军事演习？亚洲其他邻国会受到什么影响？请看专家的分析。
5月20号到26号，中、俄将在长江口以东的东海北部举行联合军事演习，双方共派出14艘水面舰艇、2艘潜艇、9架固定翼飞机，以及2个特战分队和6架舰载直升机。据报导，今年的军演特点是：首次全部混编参演舰艇，首次组织潜艇和水面舰艇自主对抗﹔以及首次组织水面舰艇编队，进行超视距攻防演练。
大陆军方日前声明，联合军演不针对第三方，是一次例行的防御性演习。而中共官方媒体19号发文说﹕“中、俄军演将演练敏感课目，意味着俄支持我东海识别区。”
美国《中国事务》杂志总编辑伍凡：“从中国来讲，它现在面临的是东海和南海有强大的压力，是美国要重返亚太、战略再平衡，它支持日本、菲律宾和越南。最近发生中、越边境钻井平台的事件，美国一再讲(是)中国的挑衅。那么在这个时候，中国(中共)需要找另外一个朋友来帮架。”
今年是中、俄联合军事演习的第三年，大陆媒体宣称这“已经成为中俄两国海军常态化、机制化的合作形式”。以往，中、俄军演期间，大陆有媒体网站开设专页，高调报导。
旅美时事评论员蓝述：“中共来讲，由于它国内的目前尖锐的社会矛盾，为了转移中国社会的视线，不断挑起亚洲周边国家的紧张关系，包括越南，菲律宾，日本等等。所以说，在亚州它也相当的孤立。在这种情况之下，双方结盟，是互相之间两个政权维持自己统治稳定的这么一种需要。”
5月初，北京宣布，“中海油”981号钻油平台，将移到南海西沙群岛附近钻探，直到8月。由于中国的钻油平台距离越南海岸线仅120海里，越南坚称那里是他们的经济海域，因此立即引起越南的抗议，双方数十艘船艇在钻探现场发生冲突碰撞。随后美国公开批评中共。
美国中文杂志《中国事务》总编辑伍凡分析，中、俄联合军演，是中共对亚洲邻国使用的一种心理战术。
伍凡：“首先舆论压力了或者一种精神压力了。我还没有说我要跟你们打，我就站在那里，直接就是心理压力。实际上这个东西是一种很深的一个心理战。”
今年中、俄的军演，双方共派出军舰16艘，比去年的19艘略少，但官方媒体说，专业特性舰艇相对集中，是舰队级、高性能的作战舰艇。
蓝述：“这种军事同盟上的进一步升级，让越来越多的亚州国家感到不安，对北京持有越来越大的戒备心理，包括中共一直称为‘中共的老朋友’的李光耀都公开要求：美国回到亚太地区，去平衡由于中共的崛起，造成亚洲太平洋地区力量的不均衡。”
军演中被外界关注的是大型登陆舰。大陆官方的军事专家介绍，登陆舰主要用于岛礁攻防上，可震慑周边国家，因为在东南沿海都存在岛礁攻防的问题。
蓝述：“因为只有通过和美国更紧密的结盟，它才能够平衡来自于中、俄的这一种压力。所以中、俄走得越来越近，直接造成的后果就是﹕亚州太平洋地区的这些中国邻近的周边国家，和美国之间的结盟会越来越紧密。”
中共官方军事网站还宣称，中、俄联手“改变了未来军事关系的新风向。”伍凡表示，中、俄虽然目前表面合作，但未来是否真的会同时行动，那还“不一定”。
采访编辑/唐音 后制/孙宁
The Political Significance of the Sino-Russian Joint Military Drill
China and Russia are to begin their third joint military drill
on May 20.
While the Chinese military claimed the exercise was not
targeted at a third party, official media reported the drill
signals Russia’s support of China’s East China Sea Air
Identification Zone as a deterrent to neighboring countries.
What is the purpose of the Sino-Russia joint military drill?
How will other Asian countries be affected?
Please follow our experts’ analysis.
China will conduct a joint naval drill with Russia between
May 20 and 26 in the northern part of the East China Sea
off of the Yangtze River.
A total of 14 surface ships, two submarines, nine fixed-wing
war planes, six shipboard helicopters and two operational
detachment-alphas (ODAs) from both navies
will join the exercises
Reportedly, in contrast to previous China-Russia sea joint
drills, the two sides will combine all warships together
for the first time, submarines and warships will be arranged
to fight automatically for the first time, and the ships
will carry out battle exercises beyond visibility
for the first time.
The Chinese navy said that the drill was not targeted
at a third party, but is a routine defense exercise.
The regime media reported, “While the Sino-Russia joint
exercise targets sensitive subjects, it also signals Russia’s
support to China’s East China Sea Identification Zone."
Chris Wu, editor-in-chief of China Affairs magazine:
“China is strongly pressured in both East China Sea
and South China Sea, due to the rebalancing strategy
with the United States’ return to Asia to support Japan,
Philippines and Vietnam.
The U.S. Department of State referred to recent conflicts
regarding the oil rig between the CCP and Vietnamese
vessels as ‘provocative’ act by the CCP.
The regime is looking for a supporter."
Mainland media said that the drills, now in their third round,
are regular and routine exercises by China and Russia.
Websites have also been created specifically for reporting
on the drills in a high profile fashion.
Lan Su, commentator: “The Communist China has constantly
stirred up tensions with neighboring countries such as
Vietnam, Philippines, and Japan in order to divert
its domestic conflicts.
Being isolated in Asia, the alliance between the two
is to maintain stability for both regimes."
In early May, Beijing announced that oil rig No. 981
will begin drilling near the Paracel Islands
in the South China Sea until August.
Located just 120 nautical miles off Vietnam’s coast line,
the rig is commonly believed to be an invasion
of Vietnamese economic waters.
Protests broke out in Vietnam.
A few dozen boats from both sides collided in conflict
around the drilling site, followed
by the United States’ public condemnation of China.
China Affairs magazine editor-in-chief Chris Wu analyzes
that the joint naval drill is psychological warfare
by the Communist China against its neighboring
Asian countries.
Chris Wu: “It is like public pressure or psychological stress
before the real war.
In fact, it’s deep psychological warfare."
The total of 16 participating warships from both Russia
and China this year are less than last year’s 19.
However, official media commented that the ships being used
are composed of high-performance, fleet-level
relatively concentrated warships.
Lan Su: “This further escalation of the military alliance
puts many countries in growing concern and wariness.
Even the old friend of the CCP, Singaporean Lee Kuan Yew,
has called on the U.S. to return to Asia-Pacific region.
There is a need to balance the uprising power of the CCP
in the area."
What’s concerning about this military exercise is the presence
of a large landing craft.
The Chinese military expert had introduced the landing craft,
mainly used for combating on reefs, can deter neighboring
countries where coastal reefs are frequently seen in the
southeast coastal region.
Lan Su: “Only with a closer alliance with the United States
will the pressure of Sino-Russia be balanced.
The close relationship between China and Russia will directly
bring the neighboring countries in Asia form a tighter alliance
with the U.S."
Communist China’s official military website also claimed
that the collaboration between Russia and China
“changes military relations in a new direction."
Chris Wu indicates the collaboration between China and
Russia does ‘not necessarily’ guarantee a future collaboration.
Interview & Edit/Tang Yin Post-Production/Sun Ning
