【新唐人2012年9月24日讯】在外界公认的中共下届领导人习近平，到底是江泽民的盟友，还是与胡锦涛联手？在目前中共权斗正酣的时候，外界对他不免感到疑惑。分析指出，王立军、薄熙来案件，逼迫原本派系中立的习近平，最终抛弃江泽民，转向胡锦涛一边。
9月22号，“英国广播公司（BBC）”刊发文章说，习近平2007年在中共“十七大”上，跃升为继任领导人后，外界广泛认定他与“上海帮”关系密切，特别是2009年10月，习近平在与德国总理默克尔会面时，曾向她赠送江泽民的两本专著，这个举动被外界视为“并不寻常”。
分析认为，习近平与江泽民一派的关系，可能没有这么简单。据说，胡锦涛当时曾属意，前共青团中央书记处第一书记李克强，成为他的继承人，但是，遭到江泽民及曾庆红反对。据了解，同样身为“太子党”的曾庆红，是促成习近平被选为继任领导人的关键角色。
今年2月，王立军和薄熙来反目，导致王立军夜逃美领馆寻求政治庇护。不久，网站设在华盛顿的“美国自由灯塔”发表文章透露，王立军当天向美国驻成都总领事何孟德 （Peter Haymond）爆了一些料，其中包括有关政治局常委周永康和薄熙来等强硬派想整垮习近平，使习近平不能顺利接班。
BBC报导，在中共党内，拥“上海帮”和“太子党”等派系的习近平，在中共权斗正酣之际，不免引起外界对习近平的疑惑：他到底是江泽民的盟友，还是站在胡锦涛的一方？
对此，时事评论员刘国华对《新唐人》表示，习近平是平衡各派系的核心人物，是中共内斗的产物。
时事评论员刘国华：“因为薄熙来这个事件出现后，把中共内部这些矛盾、纷争都暴露到天下了，那么，薄熙来的政变，是薄熙来和周永康这两个人是个主谋，他们的政变的主要的内容就是要把习近平搞下去。”
目前为什么会把习近平的背景揭出来，刘国华认为，散布这种说法的是江派“血债派”，它们是故意放风。
刘国华：“重庆事件出现以后，中共党内出现一个最大的变化是什么呢？就是，他政治局9个人当中，处于中间派的习近平，他被迫同胡锦涛他们结成联盟，同江泽民血债派，被迫的同他们进行斗争。”
稍早前曾有报导说，是习近平与胡锦涛合力拿下薄熙来。
最新消息说，薄熙来很有可能被“双开”。刘国华分析，这无疑是对江泽民等血债派的严重打击，他们现在最后的一根救命稻草，就是目前中日关于钓鱼岛的问题。
刘国华说：“现在他们故意搅浑水，煽动全国上下打、砸、抢——文革这一套，还有人打出“我们需要薄熙来”的标语。”刘国华表示，明眼人一看就知道，是有人在背后指使。
“美国守护者同盟”主席卞和祥表示，即使十八大以后，习近平上了台，正式接任胡锦涛的班，也未必会采取强硬的态度。
“美国守护者同盟”主席卞和祥：“我觉得不是由某一个人的性格决定的……共产党它也是很狡猾，它是根据……觉得采取某种策略对巩固它自己，现在的政权有没有利，他们才出发的。也就是说，他如果认为是硬的话，对他巩固政权有利的话，他就会去这样做。”
卞和祥举例说，共产党目前的经济状况非常糟糕，一旦和日本打起来的话，会加速中共的解体，因此习近平不会去冒这个风险。
采访编辑/常春 后制/周天
Xi Jinping Forced Alliance with Hu Jintao to Stand Against Jiang Zemin
Who is Xi Jinping, the next Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) leader, allied to?
Is he an ally of Jiang Zemin or a partner of Hu Jintao?
As the CCP infighting has intensified,
this question has puzzled the public.
Political observers analyze that the incidents
of Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai forced Xi Jinping to ally with Hu Jintao, and against Jiang Zemin.
On September 22, the BBC reported news about Xi Jinping.
It said that since Xi was selected as the next
CCP leader at the 17th Party Congress in 2007.
The public has widely viewed that Xi kept close relations
with a Shanghai-based faction under Jiang Zemin.
In October 2009, Xi met with German Chancellor
Angela Merkel, and gifted her two books of Jiang Zemin.
The move was widely considered as “rather unusual".
Analysts say the relationship between Xi
and Jiang’s faction are not that simple.
Allegedly, Hu Jintao preferred
Li Keqiang to be his successor.
Li was then-General Secretary of the Central
Secretariat of the Communist Youth League.
Hu’s idea was opposed by Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong.
Zeng Qinghong, a “princeling”, reportedly played a key
part in Xi Jinping being elected as the next CCP leader.
This February, Wang Lijun fell out with Bo Xilai
and fled to the U.S. Consulate to seek refuge.
‘Freebeacon.com’ subsequently revealed that
Wang had exposed secrets to Peter Haymond, the U.S. Consul General in Chengdu.
The secrets included a coup plot made by Zhou Yongkang
and Bo Xilai to block Xi Jinping’s leadership succession.
The BBC reported that Xi Jinping was a supporter
of a Shanghai-based faction, and the “princelings" faction.
The BBC raised doubts over Xi Jinping’s
stance on the CCP’s infighting.
Is Xi an ally of Jiang Zemin, or is he siding with Hu Jintao?
Critic Liu Guohua views Xi Jinping as a central figure
in balancing out the CCP’s internal factions.
Liu Guohua: “Bo Xilai’s case publically exposed
the CCP’s internal conflicts and infighting.
Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang plotted
a coup, targeting to overturn Xi Jinping."
Why did media recently report on Xi Jinping’s background?
Liu Guohua says that the news was intentionally
released by the blood-debt faction under Jiang Zemin.
Liu Guohua: “What’s the biggest change inside the CCP
since the outbreak of the Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai incidents?
That is, Xi Jinping, originally the centrist in the Politburo,
was forced to ally Hu Jintao, to fight against Jiang’s faction."
Earlier on, Xi Jinping was reported to have
joined with Hu Jintao to remove Bo Xilai.
The latest news reports that Bo Xilai might have
his Party membership and governmental post removed.
Liu Guohua says this would be a severe
blow to Jiang’s blood-debt faction.
Now, the last straw for them is the Diaoyu Islands
dispute between China and Japan.
Liu Guohua states that the blood-debt faction
is now making efforts to muddy the issue.
They incited nationwide violent action
of beating, smashing and grabbing.
This is an old tactic used during the Cultural Revolution.
The protestors even held banners of, “we need Bo Xilai”.
Liu Guohua says that this is clear
that there are forces behind the scenes.
Bian Hexiang, US-based Guardian League Chair, thinks
Xi Jinping will not take a tough line after taking office.
Bian Hexiang: “I don’t think the CCP acts solely
on any leader’s character. It is very devious.
It is only driven by strategies that favor its ruling power.
In order words, it may take a tough line as long
as it is conducive to preserving its regime."
Bian Hexiang added that China’s economy
is mired in recession.
Warring with Japan will only speed up the CCP’s collapse.
Thus, Xi Jinping will not take this risk, Bian Hexiang thinks.
