【新唐人2011年9月23日訊】本週一，一則“新浪微博未獲牌照”的傳言在網上流傳，致使新浪股價在21號重挫，跌幅高達16.96%。21號早上，新浪官方通過微博闢謠，聲稱這種說法純屬謠言。不過，身陷“牌照門”的新浪微博前景如何，是否會被關閉，受到各方的關注。
本週，新浪等中國互聯網公司股價遭遇了“黑色星期二”。 9月21號，美股開盤後，新浪盤中跳水，收盤重挫15.17%，一夜之間縮水超過10億美元。
不過，當天「新浪」並非孤例。「搜狐」(SOHU.NASDAQ)下跌5.6%，「百度」(BIDU.NASDAQ)股價下跌3.9%。而以微博業務為主要增長點的「新浪」帶頭下跌，還是引起各方猜疑。
《第一財經日報》透露，9月21號零點，英國《路透社》攝影記者宋揚發微博說：“微博要完了，一共四個微博牌照，兩個政府的，「人民」和「新華」，兩個商用牌照，且必須實名制。據說「新浪」不在此列，要被做空。諸位珍重！”
新浪馬上在21號進行了闢謠、否定。
9月初，中共北京市委書記劉淇視察了「新浪公司」，聲稱要杜絕所謂的“虛假有害信息”，要求積極傳播社會主義核心價值體系和先進文化。
據報導，「新浪」已經成立了10人“微博闢謠小組”， 針對所謂的虛假信息進行監控，查證和闢謠工作。
謝文（前雅虎中國總經理）：“第一個我不覺得一個公共平臺有責任去鑒別甚麼是謠言、甚麼是真話，那是大家說話的地方，誰說話，自己負責就是了。誰要有危害社會造成的損失，可以通過法律起訴嘛。你實際上讓一個民營公司去鑒別，甚麼叫謠言，怎麼弄，這實際是不可能的。不可能完成任務，非常有可能就是把微博的生命力給損傷了。”
《央視》早前在新聞節目中質問：“微博的底線在哪裏？”，當時就有網友認為，《央視》在釋放某種審查的信息和預告。
中國互聯網中目前存在的牌照有新聞牌照、視頻牌照、ICP牌照、ISP牌照等等。但並沒有法律規定微博運營要發放牌照。
「互聯網實驗室」創始人之一、《博客網》總編輯王俊秀認為，新浪不可能被關閉，但是當局會加強管理。
而曾任「雅虎中國」總經理、《和訊網》CEO，以及「互聯網實驗室」總經理的謝文認為，儘管當局對微博的監管一直很嚴格，但微博使百姓有了表達意見的管道，對社會的前進是有推動作用的。
謝文：“指出問題啊，發發牢騷啊，你也知道老百姓究竟對甚麼意見大，你也可以改變嘛。我覺得總體上肯定是好處大於壞處。是不是有造謠的，是不是有謀取商業利益的，肯定有，但你現實社會不也一樣嘛，也有啊，並不是有了微博產生甚麼新問題，只是把社會裏面原來存在的問題搬到了互聯網而已。”
《金融投資報》引述分析人士的看法認為，新浪股價狂跌，已經體現了市場對於「新浪微博」未來的最大擔憂，恐怕將會遭遇當局政策的嚴厲監管，而喪失大批用戶。
新唐人記者秦雪、李靜、蕭宇採訪報導。
Sina Has No License?
On Monday, a rumor circulated online that
Sina micro blog did not have a license,
resulting in Sina shares tumbling on September 21,
declining up 16.96%. In the morning of September 21,
Sina officials clarified on the micro blog, claiming this
statement to be just a rumor.
What』s the future of Sina micro blog?
Will it be closed down?
Sina and other Chinese internet companies』 stocks suffered
a “Black Tuesday.”
On September 21, Sina stocks dived, closing at 15.17%
declination, shrinking over $1 billion overnight.
Sina was not an isolated case. Sohu (SOHU.NASDAQ)
fell 5.6%. Baidu (BIDU.NASDAQ) fell 3.9%.
Sina』s main growth is in the micro blog,
its stock fell all because of people』s suspicion.
First Financial Daily revealed at 12:00 am on September 21,
that Reuters photographer Song Yangfa
wrote on his micro blog: “Micro blogs are about to finish.
There will only be four micro blog licenses,
two government ones, 『People』 and 『Xinhua,』 and two
commercial ones, but now one must register with a real name.
It is said that Sina will not be listed, and will be closed."
Sina quickly responded that same day,
claiming it was just a rumor.
Early September, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)
Secretary in Beijing, Liu Qi, inspected the Sina company,
stating his aim to eliminate “false and harmful information,”
and claiming to be actively spreading the 『socialist core
value system』 and 『advanced culture.』
Sina has established a ten-people group to monitor
for false information, verifying and clarifying.
Xie Wen (former Yahoo China General Manager):
“I do not think a public platform has the responsibilities
to verify rumors from truth. It』s a place where everyone
can speak. Speakers should be responsible for their words.
If anyone endangered society and caused losses,
you can sue him/her.
You (CCP) actually make a private company to go
identify the rumors, which is impossible.
It is very likely to harm the vitality of micro blogs too.”
CCTV questioned earlier on its news programs:
“What is the bottom line for micro blogging?"
Some netizens said it was CCTV releasing certain review
information, and giving an early notice.
China internet-existing licenses include news license,
video license, ICP license, and ISP license.
No laws required issuing licenses
for micro blogging operators.
Wang Junxiu, an Internet Laboratory founder and an editor
of Blog Network believes that Sina will not be closed down,
but that authorities will tighten its management.
Xie Wen, former Yahoo China general manager, Hexun
Network CEO, and Internet Laboratory general manager,
believes that although authorities』 regulations
on micro blogging had been very strict,
micro blogging made people find a way to express themselves,
which will push society forward.
Xie Wen: “When people point problems, complains, you
(CCP) can know what people exactly aren』t satisfied with.
You (CCP) can change then. Is there a rumor that you
(CCP) seek commercial benefits in this? There surely is.
The real society is the same, the rumors also exist,
it is not a problem caused by micro blogging.
People just bring the social problems to the micro blogs."
Financial Investment Newspaper quoted analysts views that
Sina shares had plunged, which embodies market concerns
for Sina』s micro blogging future. People fear authorities will
supervise it more stringently, thus Sina may lose many users.
NTD reporters Qin Xue, Li Jing and Xiao Yu
