【新唐人2012年10月3日訊】中共政治局在「十八大前夕」做出對薄熙來的處理決定，被認為是「胡習聯手勝出」。薄熙來是中共元老薄一波的兒子，曾被認為有資本與習近平分庭抗禮。近期，海外媒體競相報導習近平上世紀80年代，在河北正定縣當基層幹部的經歷。報導認為，「紮根農村」和「太子黨」，是中共選擇領導人的重要背景之一。習近平在河北正定的經歷，顯然幫助他完成了「紮根農村」這一任務。但這位即將上位的「太子黨」，面對當前內政、外交或經濟等多重危機的局勢，他的下一步，關係著中國大陸13億人的未來，那麼，習近平準備好了嗎？請看下面這一則報導：
《紐約時報》報導，30年前，當習近平在北京受到局部阻力的時候，他的父親——中共元老習仲勳將他調到河北正定農村。習近平在正定的經歷也幫助他與其他「太子黨」建立了聯盟關係，在以後起到了相當大的作用。
報導說，習近平在正定最突出的地方，是有關經濟以及個人的關係上。習近平在正定的經歷給他的政治生涯打開了一扇窗。不過，香港分析人士金鐘對《紐約時報》表示，人們多認為習近平是新一代的技術官僚型領導，但他認為，習近平僅僅是他父親那一代的「紅色官僚的延續」而已。
「文革」期間，習仲勳被打倒，當時還不到16歲的習近平，被迫前往陝北插隊。1969年到1975年，習近平在陝西省延川縣農村插隊勞動，曾在生產大隊擔任黨支部書記，直到1975年被推薦上「清華大學」。
美國紐約民主人士、「中國民主黨全國聯合總部」副秘書長穆文斌表示，習近平在基層生活過，對民間疾苦有所感受，他在福建和浙江的作為也比較踏實。
美國紐約民主人士 穆文斌：「至少他們曾經被打倒過，吃過毛左派的苦頭，所以他肯定不希望看到毛左派上臺的。」
不過自由撰稿人劉念春向《新唐人》表示，雖然習近平少年時曾被打成「反革命」，認識到中共鬥爭的殘酷性，可能在說話和做事上變得更為謹慎。但是，劉念春認為，中共當前面臨的危機，根源於中共政權不受制約的體制，與中共領導人的替換，關係不大。
自由撰稿人劉念春：「可是對於中共來說，不管它怎麼變，如果共產黨還是不受監督、不受制約，那中國還會像以前一樣，災難重重。知識份子50萬被打成右派，那也沒經過法律。」
有評論認為，當今的中共當權者以及即將當權的人，可能都感受到：中國當前面對的危機，也許比100年前的清政府，更加直接和緊迫。比如：當前中國的許多產業出現了生產過剩，但是共產黨還在繼續營造假的GDP，而且「保8」的經濟增長承諾，也已經成為難以實現的懸念。另一方面，中共刺激經濟的那些錢，造成了極度浪費和重復投資。
「四五論壇」創辦人之一楊靖：「老百姓認為不管他是甚麼經歷的人，老百姓就看你辦實事，和看這個黨的本質是否改變了，是否給老百姓辦實事，然後跟老百姓站在同樣的立場上，面對現在複雜的現實。」
另外，在內政方面，由「王薄案」引爆的中共高層內鬥，其中一個無法繞過的核心問題，就是法輪功的問題，習近平上位後有勇氣去面對嗎？
分析人士指出，不要幻想胡錦濤這一代，或者十八大之後，新一代的中共領導人對法輪功有任何不同的作為，這種幻想等於是「與虎謀皮」。
採訪/常春 編輯/周平 後製/蕭宇
Is Xi Jinping Ready?
Chinese Communist Party’ (CCP) Politburo made a decision
on settling Bo Xilai’s case before its 18th Congress.
This is viewed as a victory of Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping.
Bo Xilai is the son of CCP’s veteran Bo Yibo, and was
once considered a strong Xi Jinping’ rival for the top post.
Recently overseas media reported Xi Jinping’s experiences
as cadre in Zhengding County, Hebei Province in the 80’s.
The reports stated, settling in rural areas and a princelings’
background are key CCP criteria for choosing its leaders.
Xi Jinping’s experience in Zhengding apparently meets
the condition of settling in rural areas.
But this upcoming leader from the princelings’ group
faces many internal, diplomatic and economic challenges.
His next steps will determine the future
of China’s 1.3 billion people. Is Xi Jinping ready?
The New York Times reported that 30 years ago,
Xi Jinping encountered some resistance in Beijing.
Thus his father, the CCP veteran Xi Zhongxun,
transferred him to Zhengding Village in Hebei Province.
Xi Jinping’s experience there helped him establish
an alliance with other members of the “princelings group," which played a considerable role in the future.
The report says, Xi Jinping’s most prominent achievements
in Zhengding is related to economic and personal relations.
It opened up a window
towards his political career.
However, HK analyst Jin Zhong told New York Times,
that most people think Xi is a leader of the new generation.
Yet, Jin thinks Xi is merely a “red bureaucracy continuation”
of his father’s generation.
When Xi Zhongxun was ousted in the Cultural Revolution,
Xi Jinping was under 16 years of age.
He was forced to join the farmers
at north Sha’an Xi Province.
From 1969 to 1975, Xi Jinping worked as a farmer there,
and was once the party secretary of the local production team.
He was recommended for admission
to Tsinghua University in 1975.
Mu Wenbin is a democracy activist and deputy secretary
of China Democracy Party National Alliance Headquarter.
Mu expressed that Xi Jinping experienced people’s hardship
when he was at the grassroots level.
His work at Fujian Province and Zhejiang Province
were also down to earth.
Mu Wenbin: “They were once overthrown.
They suffered from the Maoists and leftists.
So they absolutely do not want
those people to take the power again.”
Freelancer Liu Nianchun told NTD,
that indeed, Xi Jinping had suffered as a teenager.
And exactly because Xi is aware of the CCP’s cruelty,
he may say and do things more cautiously.
The current CCP crises is rooted deeply in the CCP regime,
and has little to do with the replacement of CCP leaders.
Liu Nanchun: “No matter what CCP does, if not monitored,
or controlled, China will be as before, full of disasters.
The 500,000 intellectuals were labeled as “rightists”
and persecuted without any legal process.”
Experts said, both current and future CCP leaders have felt,
that today’s China crises might be more direct and urgent, than those the Qing government faced 100 years ago.
For example, many industries in China have overproduction,
but the CCP continues to create fake GDP.
The commitment to 8% economic growth
has become difficult to achieve.
On the other hand, the money CCP used to stimulate
economy caused huge waste and duplication of investment.
Yang Jing, April 5th Forum establisher, said about the issue:
“People do not care about past experiences, but want to see how things will be done now.
They want to see if the CCP has changed,
can do good things, and stand together with the people.
If it has the courage and solutions to solve the problems
of the current complex situation.”
Another aspect of CCP’s inner affairs and infightings stirred
by Wang Lijun’ and Bo Xilai’s cases, is the Falun Gong issue.
Will Xi Jinping have the needed courage
to face this issue?
Analysts seem pessimistic on the prospects of Hu Jintao’s,
or the announced after CCP’s 18th congress new leadership, doing something different on this sensitive issue.
