【新唐人2015年02月14日訊】日前，美國一家研究機構受美國國會委託推出最新報告，指稱中共軍隊在指揮結構和戰鬥力方面能力低下，很難打贏現代化戰爭。分析認為，中共軍隊腐敗叢生、買官賣官猖獗，是導致軍隊缺乏戰鬥力的致命弱點之一。

美國《彭博社》2月12號報導，美國智庫蘭德公司（Rand Corp.）受美國國會委託，就中共軍隊對臺作戰軍事部隊、海軍、海防通訊線路以及非戰爭軍事行動部門進行調查後，推出一份綜合報告。

報告稱，中共軍隊存在潛在的致命弱點，這些弱點將限制軍隊在未來戰爭和衝突中的行動和作戰能力。弱點主要表現在兩大方面：一是指揮結構陳舊過時，指揮人員素質低下，整體缺乏專業能力以及腐敗盛行﹔二是戰鬥力低下，包括後勤保障不足，戰略空運能力薄弱，能執行特殊任務的戰機數量有限，缺乏空中防禦能力等。

報告說，中共軍隊高層深知這些弱點。美國軍事分析家認為，這些弱點使中共軍隊不能在現代化信息條件下打贏戰爭，也難以完成其他使命，加大了同發達工業國家的差距，尤其同美國軍力的差距。

美國中文雜誌《中國事務》總編輯伍凡表示，中共90年代已實行軍事現代化，近幾年軍費呈兩位數增長，它還提出「超限戰」，如果發生戰爭，中共會採取人們想像不到的一切手段發動攻擊。

美國中文雜誌《中國事務》總編輯伍凡：250「中共現在大力的、全力的發展軍事，它不僅僅在網絡上，它還發展遠程核導彈，可以從中國打到美國，它正在發展，發展巨型的核潛艇，可以偷偷的到了美國邊境發導彈打美國，這個它正在發展中間啊。」

不過，報告認為，雖然中共海軍在海上艦只以及潛艇方面增強了作戰能力，一旦進行綜合編隊，使之成為複雜的武器裝備平臺時，中共海軍還不足以操作和駕馭它們﹔中共空軍也缺乏參與特殊行動的關鍵性空中裝備以及極限訓練。雖然中共國防工業過去取得了一些進步，但目前正面臨腐敗、缺乏競爭力、壟斷、成本過大、質量控制、官僚化、採購系統過時等問題。

2月11號，英國智庫國際戰略研究所(IISS)，發佈全球軍事能力與防務經濟的年度報告稱，亞洲的整體國防開支一直在增加，而中國國防開支，2010年佔據亞洲軍費開支總量的約28%，去年份額已增至38%左右。但去年12月底《軍情觀察室》報導，中共成都軍區在內部評估中承認，中共軍隊部分戰鬥力已不及印度。

旅美原大陸歷史學教授劉因全認為，中共軍隊腐敗叢生、買官賣官猖獗，也是導致軍隊缺乏戰鬥力的致命弱點之一。

旅美原大陸歷史學教授劉因全：「部隊它是一個戰鬥團體，如果部隊完全腐敗了之後，根本沒有甚麼戰鬥力了，你想買官鬻爵這些部隊怎麼能上戰場？像一個軍長，他這個官是多少百萬買過來的，那他還要繼續的去貪污，把投資的這個錢再收回來。他怎麼可能英勇的去戰鬥，萬一犧牲了以後，他這個投資不是白投資了嗎？」

中共軍隊腐敗由來已久，中共前黨魁江澤民1989年執政後，更是利用加官晉爵、縱容軍隊走私、貪污等手段收買軍心。

去年，江氏軍中大員、中共總後勤部原副部長谷俊山和原中共軍委副主席徐才厚落馬。2月10號，有消息稱另一名原中共軍委副主席郭伯雄及其兒子、浙江省軍區少將郭正鋼也被拘查，而且徐才厚、郭伯雄兩人互相勾結賣官斂財，「少將五百萬，中將千萬」﹔港媒還披露，徐才厚、谷俊山貪腐金額超過300億元人民幣。

中共退役少將羅援曾對大陸媒體說：軍費再多，被這些貪官污吏幾十億、上百億的侵佔，永遠不夠。貪腐不除，中國未戰先敗。

採訪編輯/李韻

U.S. Think Tank: PLA has “Potentially Serious Weaknesses"

A report commissioned by a U.S. congressional committee

shows that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) isn’t ready to

win wars with its outdated command structure

and low combat capability, mainly blamed on rampant

military corruption and the trade of military positions

according to analysts.

The US think tank, Rand Corp. recently reported a research

commissioned by a U.S. congressional committee regarding

the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) Taiwan contingencies,

maritime claim missions, the protecting of sea-line

communications and some non-war military operations,

said Bloomberg.

The PLA suffers from “potentially serious weaknesses"

that could limit its ability to conduct the operations required

to fight and win future conflicts, and its shortcomings

fall into two broad categories, says the report.

“It’s hampered by an outdated command structure,

the poor quality of its personnel, a lack of professionalism,

and corruption," reported Bloomberg.

“Its other weakness is combat capability, which covers

logistical weaknesses, insufficient strategic airlift capabilities,

limited numbers of special-mission aircraft and deficiencies

in fleet air defense and antisubmarine warfare," it continued.

PLA leaders are aware of its shortcomings, says Rand Corp.,

with military analysts referring to the “two incompatibles"

reflecting their valuation that the army was still unable to

win a war under “informationized" conditions

and successfully carry out other missions.

“These shortcomings contribute to a “large gap" between

China and the militaries of developed countries,

especially the U.S.," says Bloomberg.

Chris Wu, editor-in-chief of China Affairs magazine, says

the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) military modernization

has been implemented since the 1990’s.

China’s military spending has shown double-digit growth

in recent years.

The regime has even proposed “unrestricted warfare";

should war erupt, it will attack with all unimaginable means.

Chris Wu: “The CCP has engaged in military development

vigorously, from cyber-war to remote nuclear missiles that

target the U.S. and giant submarines that can sneak into

the U.S. border and fire missiles; they’re all in development."

The paper highlighted that the PLA Navy boasts impressive

capabilities, but remains challenged when it comes to

integrating such complex modern weapons and equipment

and personnel aren’t equipped to operate or maintain them.

The air force also faces a shortage of key special-mission

aircraft and “unrealistic" training.

The defense industry, while having made “tremendous

progress," suffers from corruption, lack of competition,

entrenched monopolies, delays and cost overruns, quality

control problems, bureaucratic fragmentation, an outdated

acquisition system, and so on.

On Feb. 11, the British think tank, International Institute

for Strategic Studies, released their 2015 annual report

on global military capabilities and defense economics.

Overall defence spending has increased in Asia, it said.

In 2010, China accounted for around 28% of the Asian total;

by 2014 its share had increased to around 38%.

But the Observation Post Of Military Situation by Phoenix TV

revealed in late Dec. 2014, that the Chengdu Military Region

had acknowledged in an internal assessment that the

combat capability of China’s military was less than India.

Former history professor Liu Yinquan believes that

the PLA suffers mainly due to their rampant corruption

and the buying and selling of rankings.

Prof. Liu Yinquan: “Once the military is corrupt, it loses its

combat power; how can troops succeed on the battlefield

if they’re led by officers who paid their way there?"

“If a commander has paid millions to get his ranking, he has

to get his investment back through continued corruption."

“How would he conduct any heroic fight?

—If he dies, his investment will be gone."

Corruption in the PLA has its history; since Jiang Zemin

took over the leadership in 1989, he further condoned

military smuggling and corruption to promote personnel

in order to win their support.

Jiang’s two main cronies in the military, Gu Junshan,

the former vice minister of General Logistics and Xu Caihou,

the former Central Military Commission vice chairman

were sacked last year.

On Feb. 10, sources said Guo Boxiong, a CMC vice chairman

and his son, Guo Zhenggang, the rear admiral of Zhejiang

Military District were both arrested for investigation.

Xu Caihou and Guo Boxiong have colluded and engaged in

the trading of officer titles with a price tag of five-million

for rear admiral and tens-of-millions for lieutenant general.

Hong Kong media also revealed that the money involved

in such tradings is as much as 30-billion yuan.

Retired rear general Luo Yuan told mainland media that

the military budget will never be enough with there being

billions upon billions lost in embezzlement.

As long as corruption and bribery exist,

China is as good as defeated even without a fight.

Interview & Edit/LiYun