【新唐人2012年9月6日訊】最近，中共內部人事變動頻繁。中共喉舌《新華社》9月1號指稱，原中共中央辦公廳主任令計劃職務由原貴州省委書記栗戰書擔任，令計劃調任中央統戰部部長。這項突然的人事異動，引起人們的諸多猜測，當前很多人把注意力都集中在令計劃和栗戰書身上，卻忽略了一個關鍵人物—-原統戰部長杜青林。
據《新華社》報導，杜青林是因為已年滿65歲，按照有關任職年齡規定，不再擔任中央統戰部部長職務，改由令計劃接任。
不過，據了解，一般正部級的任職年齡是65歲退休，但如果作為中央領導人兼任，並沒有硬性規定。
也有消息說，8月29號國航CA981航班的「神秘」返航，已經觸及到江系重要人物，中共中央政治局委員，與杜青林關係密切的國務院副總理回良玉，因為牽涉薄、王事件，統戰部目前正遭大力整肅。
香港《南華早報》3號發表專欄文章指出，令計劃爆冷門，調到中共統戰部，任部長，與他兒子令谷在3月18號發生的一樁「法拉利車禍」，導致身亡有關。
報導引述北京消息人士的話說，令計劃提前交出中辦主任一職，「十八大」成為政治局委員的可能變成無望。英國《每日電訊報》也報導說，目前還不清楚令計劃的職務改變是否意味著降職。
不過，香港中文媒體普遍看好令計劃的仕途，但部分海外中文媒體則「放風」，對令計劃仕途看貶。
香港《蘋果日報》分析，令計劃可能日後會升任全國政協副主席，並躋身「黨和國家領導人」之列，這次職務調整，是為令計劃將來升任政協副主席鋪路。
時事評論家 橫河：「杜青林究竟出了甚麼事，現在我們不是很清楚他們的換位置是遲早要發生的，但是，如果說這時候，有一個在這個級別上的部門，必須要馬上換人的話，那很可能，最順手的人就是令計劃，這個因素在外面的討論當中是最少談到的一個。但是，不排除有這種可能性。
橫河進一步指出，立刻要換上的人，應該是一個幾派都能信得過的，或者至少是現在胡錦濤還能夠信得過的人，最合適的人就是令計劃了。
不過，令人懷疑的則是，有海外媒體報導宣稱，被閃電拿掉的杜青林，如果沒有意外將出任副總理，主管農業。《阿波羅新聞網》認為，這是江系放風，讓胡溫受挫。
橫河也強調 ，中共中央辦公廳主任位置很重要，但是，在歷史上真正在這個位置上，爬到最高位的人並不多，如果沒有其他的工作經驗，沒有具體在省或某一個部歷練過，很難入常。
橫河：「統戰部你不能說這個位置不重要，而且對外的情報機構的整合，是跟統戰部是有關係的，那麼，對於一個像令計劃這種沒有經過實戰經驗的人來說的話，調到統戰部，實際上是一個機會，讓他有這個機會來表現他的能力，就說，他以前實際上，當中辦主任是沒有機會，來表現他自己的能力的。」
據了解，統戰部早已成為中共集總參、國安部等情報功能，以及，集海內外策反工作於一身的準特情部門。橫河認為，如此重要的部門當然要由胡錦濤的心腹來掌握。
不過，原「加州大學」訪問學者曾大軍則認為，中共這條破船已經很難再撐下去了，只不過，當前的中共領導人，他們千方百計的想苟延殘喘長一點時間。
原「加州大學」訪問學者曾大軍：「當年趙紫陽就曾經說過，趁著我們黨還能夠把握這個局面的時候，趕快把那些欠債給它還了，比方說『六四』問題，比方說『法輪功』的問題，趕緊來糾正，這樣還可能平穩的過渡。」
曾大軍還指出，現在老百姓的唯一希望，就是在中國，出現象戈爾巴喬夫一樣的人物。
採訪編輯/常春 後製/鍾元
Deposition of Du Qinglin has some Secrets
Recently, CCP Top management has changed frequently.
Xinhua News Agency said on 1st Sept that the former
Guizhou Party Secretary Li Zhanshu was appointed
to the Director of General Office of Central Committee,
Ling Jihua as Minster of United Front Work.
The sudden changes aroused doubts for many.
The spotlight is now on Ling Jihua and Li Zhanshu, yet a
critical figure was ignored, the former minister of United Front Works, Du Qinglin.
According to Xinhua news agency, Du resigned because he is
now 65 and not eligible to be a minister according to the age regulations, so Ling Jihua took his job.
Upon learning that the Governor of Calif. was coming to visit,
Although the retirement age threshold for ministers is 65,
one doesn’t have to follow the regulations,
if holding a concurrent position of being one of the
CCP central committee leaders.
Besides, sources say that the mysterious return flight of
Air China’s CA981 on Aug. 29, was related with the
deputy Prime Minster Hui Liangyu, who has a
close allegiance to Du Qinglin.
Du and his ministry involved in Bo Xilai’s case have now
been purged by the Party.
South China Morning in Hong Kong reported on Sept.3
that Ling’s unexpected appointment was related with his son, Ling Gu』s suspicious death in car accident on 18th March.
Reports quoted from sources in Beijing state that Ling, losing
his position with General Office meant he couldn’t enter the standing committee at 18th Congress.
The Daily Telegraph in UK said that it was not clear if
Ling’s appointment was actually a demotion.
Hong Kong Chinese media unanimously think positively
of Ling’s political career, although some overseas Chinese media reported negatively.
Apply Daily stated Ling could be future Vice-Chairman of the
National Committee of the CPPCC, one of Party and Country leaders.
The switch of his position is to pave his way
for the future promotion.
Commentator Heng He: “We are not yet sure what
has happened to Du Qinglin.
They change positions once in a while.
However, if the senior government decided to
replace a person immediately, the most possible and easiest replacement they will use is Ling Jihua.
This factor is seldom discussed, yet proving to be possible."
Heng He also states: the immediate replacement must be someone
who is trusted by all fractions and at least by Hu Jintao.
So the best choice is Ling Jihua.
Some oversea media reported that Du Qinglin would be
deputy prime minister in charge of agriculture.
aboluowang.com counters that it is pure rumor.
Heng He stressed that the position of the Director of
General Office of the Central Committee is very important,
yet in history, few people in this position climbed
to highest level.
Without experiences in provincial government or ministries,
it is hard to enter the standing committee.
Heng He: “You can’t say that the ministry of
United Front Work is not important, it is responsible to administrate overseas intelligence agencies.
For an under-experienced person like Ling Jihua, the position
is to give him an opportunity to demonstrate his capabilities.
In fact, being a director of general office,
he seldom had any opportunity to show himself.
It is understood that the United Front Work had already
combined some functions of military and state security intelligence, and overseas instigation works.
Heng He said that such an important department will
for sure be controlled by Hu’s confidants.
Former Scholar with the California University, Zeng Dajun said
that the CCP could barely manage to survive, although its leaders were trying all means to keep it alive.
Zeng Dajun:"Zhao Ziyang said that when we were still able to
be in control, we shall quickly pay back those debts,
for example, the Tiananmen Square massacre, or
the persecution of Falun Gong.
This needs to be corrected before
a smooth transition is possible."
Zeng Dajun said the only hope in China now is
to have a person like Gorbachev.