【禁聞】分析﹕放鬆一胎化 刺激矛盾爆發

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【新唐人2013年11月30日訊】中共在三中全會宣佈放鬆一胎化政策,夫婦一方是獨生子女的可以生二胎。但是英國華裔作家馬建卻語出驚人的指出,放鬆一胎化會帶來民眾更大的不平,計劃生育政策長期積纍的矛盾,將會更猛烈的爆發出來。

計劃生育帶來的弊病日益凸顯,例如﹕人口老齡化,勞動力減少,薪資上漲,外資撤離,男女比例失調等。雖然,中共三中全會宣佈﹕放鬆一胎化政策,但外界認為,放鬆的幅度有限,因此許多人呼籲﹕全面放開一胎化政策。

不過,中共在廢除計劃生育政策上並未鬆口。

英國華裔作家馬建著有《陰之道》,他指出,中共一胎化政策已經形成了一個上百萬人的利益集團,他們依靠計劃生育生存。

英國華裔作家馬建:「我記得老百姓有句話,在城市是靠地皮,在鄉鎮是靠肚皮。這句話的意思就是說,作為一些鄉鎮企業,計劃生育作為一種創收,是很重要的。其實就是靠女人的肚皮。在這種情況下,你想讓共產黨能夠一步就跨出來,是很難的。」

馬建透露,去年北京從女人子宮裡面刮了四個億,江西省去年一年就是32個億,這是能夠進到賬上被計劃生育部門知道的。馬建斷定,差不多有一半的計生罰款沒有入帳,農民直接把錢交上去,計生人員連一個收據都不打。這個情況大部分發生在農村。

馬建說,要想取消這樣一個「通過女人的子宮」養活一批人的「產業」,確實困難。

馬建:「你想想,廣東電白縣,計劃生育巡迴法庭,它一年的指標就是三千萬。就是它必須從女人的子宮刮出三千萬,這是他們的目標,巡迴法庭的工作指標。那麼這三千萬,這樣『得』刮掉多少女人的子宮,才能刮出這麼多錢來?」

1991年在中國山東冠縣,搞了一個很大的運動叫「百日無孩」,就是從5月10號起100天內,縣裡面任何女人肚子裡的孩子都要打出來。當時的口號是「把孩子流了,讓黨放心」。據說有兩萬名胎兒從母親的肚子裡被處死。有些胎兒被扔進井裡,井都變臭了。

馬建說,中國人被訓練成了奴隸。我的子宮不是我的,是國家的,應該由國家管理。

但是中國人在慢慢覺醒,反抗在增加。2007年在廣西有一次很大的博白暴動,5萬多人起來推翻計劃生育站,燒了警察局。因為當時罰款太厲害。老百姓交不起罰款,急了。這是1989年以來最大的暴動。

馬建認為,當局現在放鬆一胎化政策,將引爆長期積纍的矛盾,帶來更猛烈的反抗。

據了解,在中國,估計有三億多生育年齡段女人,根據官方公布的數字,有一億多女人已經都結了紮,不能再生育。還有兩億多女人,是帶上環避孕。

馬建表示,帶上環的兩億女人,如果看到有機會可以生二胎的話,會把環取出來。

馬建:「你想想,這些女人聽到了這些年輕的獨生家庭可以生二胎,對她們來講可能是非常大的一個刺激,這可能會變成一個敵對關係,因為你能生,我不能生,我會非常恨你,我會恨這個社會,我會恨這個制度。為甚麼把我的子宮給切斷了?為甚麼我的子宮不屬於我自己?所以一旦放開二胎的話,這些整個計劃生育積纍到仇恨和這些冤案都會爆發出來。」

中國周圍的國家,從韓國、香港、新加坡,到日本,都在號召生育。日本的人口密度比中國多了五倍,仍在鼓勵生育。那麼,為甚麼唯獨中共要壓制生育?

馬建認為,一些人口學者和中共當局錯誤的相信,不控制生育會帶來人口爆炸,資源耗竭,而人口控制可以帶來GDP升高。但是,創造GDP的勞動力來源於不斷新生的國民,如在廣東深圳打工的農民工就有幾千萬人。馬建說,中國所謂的改革開放,就是靠這一批計劃生育之外的人所開創的。

採訪編輯/秦雪 後製/李智遠

Relazing One-Child Policy May Ignite Conflict

During the Third Plenary Session, the Chinese Communist

Party (CCP) announced it will relax the One-Child Policy.

Couples can have a second child, when

either the man or the woman was a single child.

UK based Chinese writer Ma Jian suggests that

relaxing the one-child policy will bring more injustice.

It will bring contradictions accumulated by long-term

family planning policies that will be erupy more violently.

Problems brought about by China’s Family Planning

Policies have become more and more prominent.

This includes an aging population, reduction

of labor, wage inflation, withdrawal of foreign

investment, as well as gender imbalances.

The CCP announced during the Third Plenary

Session that it will relax the one-child policy.

Overseas observers think that

this will only have a limited effect.

Many people are calling for full

liberalization of the One-Child Policy.

However, the CCP did not announce

the abolition of the family planning policy.

UK-based Chinese writer Ma Jian, author

of The Dark Road,suggests that the

CCP’s one-child policy has formed an

interest group of over one million people.

They rely on the family planning for their survival.

Ma Jian: “There is a saying among people:

‘The city relies on land, the township relies on belly.’

It means family planning (women’s belly) is an

important income source to some enterprises.

It is very difficult to hope that the CCP will step out of it."

Ma Jian revealed that the Beijing government

earned 400 million yuan last year, out of abortions.

Jiangxi Province earned 320 million yuan last year. These

are the figures the Family Planning department is aware of.

Ma Jian concludes that about half of the

family planning fines were not on the books.

Farmers hand in money to family planning staff without

receipts. These cases happen mostly in the countryside.

Ma Jian said it is indeed difficult to

abolish an industry based on abortion.

Ma Jian: “The annual budget of Guangdong Dianbai

County Family Planning Touring Court is 30 million yuan.

How many abortions did they need to do to reach this goal?"

The local government in Guan County, Shandong Province

held a movement in 1991 called “100 Days without Children".

For 100 days following May 10 1991, every

pregnant woman had to have an abortion.

The slogan was “Have an Abortion to Assure the Party".

It was said twenty thousand babies were killed. Some

were thrown into wells and the wells began to smell.

Ma Jian said that Chinese have been trained to be slaves.

A woman’s womb does not belong to herself,

but to the party, and is controlled by the party.

Chinese people are awakening,

with the outbreak of more protests.

In 2007, a large-scale riot, called

the Bobai Riot, took place in Guangxi.

50,000 people, furious about the high amount

of family planning fines, overthrew the family

planning station, and set fire to the police station.

This was the largest uprising since 1989.

Ma Jian thinks that loosening the One-Child Policy now,

will cause explosions over long accumulated conflicts.

There are about 300 million women

at a childbearing age in China.

According to official data, more than 100 million women

went through tubal ligation and can no longer bear children.

Over two hundred million women wear a contraceptive ring.

Ma Jia suggests that the two hundred million women could

stop contraception, and have an opportunity to bear children.

Ma Jian: “Think about it. It might trigger

hostile relationships between women.

Some women who had their uterus cut might hate those

young couples who are allowed to have a second child.

They might hate others and hate society.

Why was my uterus cut? Why

doesn’t mine belong to myself?

The accumulated hatred and injustice caused

by the entirety of family planning might explode."

Countries around China, such as South Korea, Hong Kong,

Singapore, and Japan, all encourage people having children.

Japan’s population is more than five times denser

than China, so why does the CCP suppress child birth?

Ma Jian thinks some demographers and the CCP

authorities believed the population would explode.

They think natural resources would

be used up, without use of birth control.

Population control can bring GDP increases.

However, the GDP source comes from a young labor force.

There are tens of millions of migrant workers in Shenzhen.

Ma Jian said that China’s reform and opening up

was created by those outside of family planning.

Interview & Edit/QinXue Post-Production/LiZhiyuan

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