【新唐人2012年10月12日訊】日前，有海外媒體爆出十八大人事變動的最新消息說，「原定進入十八大常委的李源潮，在最後時刻功虧一簣，被震盪出局。」而原先被出局的俞正聲，將重新進入常委。雖然某些媒體在中共18大前不斷猜測「入常」名單，但有評論認為，如今，中共的「十八大」佈局大局已定，傳言「常委人員有變」，不會成為影響中共政局走向的變數。接下來就聽聽專家是怎麼說的。
中共「十八大」將於11月8號舉行。除了中共國家副主席習近平，和中共國家副總理李克強外，現任廣東省委書記汪洋、中央組織部部長李源潮、副總理王岐山、中央宣傳部部長劉雲山等人，都是「入常」的熱門人選。
不過，有海外媒體爆出李源潮「出局」，而俞正聲將重新進入常委的最新消息。
消息還透露，這次李源潮的出局，是前總理李鵬「發力」的結果。並強調，李鵬對汪洋和李源潮入常表示不滿，曾多次找胡錦濤，胡錦濤權衡後拿掉了汪洋，但李鵬仍然對李源潮還在名單上耿耿於懷。
時事評論員林子旭表示，如果真的是這樣，中共的元老每人都和胡錦濤說幾句話，這「十八大」就沒法兒開了。
時事評論員林子旭：「李源潮佔據年齡優勢，同時也沒有甚麼不良記錄，再加上有胡溫的絕對支持，除非中共內部有甚麼大的變故發生，否則李源潮入常是不會有甚麼變數的。」
還有傳聞說，10月28號，中共政治局委員、重慶市委書記張德江將離任，並前往北京，準備在十八大上升任中共政治局常委。香港媒體也報導，中共大佬們圍繞「十八大」人事佈局出現嚴重分歧，原定政治局常委人選又出現新版本，而且不排除還有變化。
時事評論員夏小強分析，這次中共政治局常委的名單，不會像過去那樣，一直到最後一刻都無法確認，如今中共的「十八大」佈局大局已定，傳言「常委人員有變」，不會成為影響中共政局走向的變數。
時事評論員夏小強：「江派殘餘勢力已經沒有牌可打，他們只能靠放風來攪局，一邊不斷放出江澤民現身的假消息，一邊放出十八大常委名單有變的風聲，其實十八大常委名單，現在根本已經不是重點，十八大常委無論是誰，江派在十八大後都將面臨全面被清算，這一點已經沒有任何懸念。」
據《大紀元》新聞網報導，今年5月，200名中共高官參加了京西賓館的會議，在這個會上胡錦濤定下了方針，周永康形同「裸退」。同時，中南海高層達成「默契」，周永康可以高調露面來營造表面的「和諧」、「穩定」，以確保「十八大」權力順利交接。
外界普遍認為，周永康在背後一直暗算胡錦濤和習近平。如在中、日釣魚島問題上大作文章，企圖以保衛國土名義煽動「保釣」，給胡、溫、習以壓力，攪亂局勢，延緩「十八大」，使得江派能延續手中的權力。
夏小強：「江澤民、曾慶紅、周永康、羅幹在1999年開始鎮壓法輪功，其中包括前政法委書記羅幹製造『天安門自焚偽案』。還有，政法委系統、全國勞教所和醫院，所形成的活體摘除法輪功學員器官的驚天的罪惡。為了掩蓋事實真相，江澤民、曾慶紅絕對不敢讓出中共最高權力，這就是十年來『江、胡鬥』的核心，也是中共十六大、十七大、十八大權鬥的核心，這也是江澤民近日頻頻『被露面』的原因。」
夏小強認為，清算江派「反人類罪」的這把火，會不會燒死周永康和江澤民！？才是影響中國未來走向的最大變數和看點。
採訪編輯/常春 後製/薛莉
Upcoming Members of CCP Politburo Standing Committee Changed?
Wrestling or Rumors?
Recently, overseas media reported the latest news about
the personnel changing of the Chinese Communist Pary(CCP) 18th National Congress
that “Li Yuanchao, who had been decided upon to enter
the Politburo Standing Committee was moved out at the last moment.”
Yu Zhengsheng, who wouldn’t enter the Standing Committee
will enter now.
Although some media keep on discussing the new members
list of the Standing Committee,
analysts thought currently that the big arrangement
of the 18th Congress is fixed.
The rumor of “new member list changed” will not
impact the trend of the CCP’s political situation.
Let’s see what the experts said.
The CCP’s 18th National Congress will be held on November 8.
Except the vice president Xi Jinping and vice prime minister
Li Keqiang, Guangdong secretary Wang Yang,
Minister of Central Organization Department Li Yuanchao,
Vice prime minister Wang Qishan, Minister of Propaganda
Liu Yunshan and so on are high potential candidates.
However, oversea media reported Li Yuanchao was out,
and that Yu Zhengsheng will enter the Standing Committee.
The report revealed that it was the former Prime Minister
Li Peng who moved Li Yuanchao out.
It was emphasized that Li Peng didn’t agree to let
Wang Yang and Li Yuanchao enter the Standing Committee and he asked Hu Jintao many times to move them out.
Hu Jintao then moved Wang Yang out
after thinking over the situation.
But Li Peng wasn’t happy
that Li Yuanchao was still on the list.
Lin Zixun, a current affairs’ commentator said, if it’s true,
the 18th Congress cannot be held since each CCP veteran
senior leader will tell Hu Jintao something.
Lin Zixu: “Li Yuanchao has the age advantage, and doesn’t
have a bad record and has the absolute support of the Hu-Wen faction.
Unless something big has occurred, Li Yuanchao will enter
the Standing Committee and nothing will be changed.”
There are rumors that the CCP Chongqing secretary Zhang
Dejiang will be moved back to Beijing on Octorber 28,
and will be prepared to be promoted to member of
the Standing Committee during the 18th Congress.
Hong Kong media has also reported that CCP bigwigs are
seriously divided on the personnel arrangement.
The decided member list has been changed,
and may have further changes yet.
Xia Xiaoqiang, a current affairs’ commentator analyzed that
this year, the member list of Politburo Standing Committee
will not be like others which couldn’t be fixed until the last minute.
Now the arrangement of the 18th Congress is fixed.
The rumor “member list of Standing Committee is changed”
will not impact the trend of the CCP’s political situation.
Xia Xiaoqiang: “The remaining force of Jiang’s faction has no
card to play. They can only use rumor to mess up the situation.
on the one hand, they published Jiang Zemin’s public action
Continually, on the other hand, they spread rumors that the member list of the Standing Committee had changed.
Actually, the list is not the key point now. No matter who
will be the members of Standing Committee,
Jiang’s faction will be liquidated in the 18th Congress.
There’s no doubt.”
According to the Epoch Times News Net, 200 CCP senior
officials attended a meeting in Jingxi Hotel in May 2012.
In this meeting, Hu Jintao gave a guideline that
Zhou Yongkang is in retirement.
And Zhongnanhai made an agreement that Zhou Yongkang
can show his face in public only to make a “harmonious",
“stable" image which can guarantee smooth leadership change
in the 18th Congress.
It’s widely believed that Zhou Yongkang secretly plotted
against Hu Jintao and Xi Jinping for a long time.
For example, he hyped the Diaoyu (Senkaku) islands issue,
which he planned in the name of protecting sovereign territory to pressure Hu, Wen and Xi.
The political situation could thus have been in a mess, the
18th Congress postponed and Jiang’s power sustained.
Xia Xiaoqiang: “In 1999, Jiang Zemin, Zeng Qinghong, Zhou
Yongkang and Luo Gan started persecuting Falun Gong.
The former secretary of the Politics and Judiciary Committee
Luo Gan initiated the Tiananmen self-immolation pseudo case.
The Politics and Judiciary system work together with
Labor Camps and hospitals formed to do live organ harvesting on Falun Gong practitioners.
To continue to hide the truth, Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong
will not lose the power of the highest level of CCP.
This is the core of the Jiang-Hu infighting in the past tens
of years, and is the core of 16th Congress, 17th Congress as well as the 18th Congress.
This is also the reason why Jiang Zemin was forced
to show his face.
Xia Xiaoqiang thought that the biggest unstable factor
that will impact China’s future, and the most interesting question is:
Will the liquidation of the Jiang faction
kill off Zhou Yong Kang and Jiang Zemin ?