【新唐人2012年2月2日訊】英國《經濟學人》雜誌增加新的中國欄目，新一期文章分析「中國的動亂 危險的一年」。與此同時，江西贛州上千群眾喊出「打倒共產黨」、「把五星紅旗摘下來燒掉」的口號，抗議當地官員不辦實事、只講空話。
1月29號上午9點，江西贛州於都縣4名長途運輸汽車站協管員，與運輸承包人發生糾紛，協管員持刀傷害了兩位運輸承包人。當天下午，上千名群眾聚在橋頭鄉派出所門前示威抗議，群眾當著政府官員和警察的面喊出了「打倒共產黨」、「把五星紅旗摘下來燒掉」等口號，群眾抗議官員洗腦式喊話，要求嚴懲兇手。
記者致電橋頭鄉派出所，了解如何處置兩名行兇者，但警方拒絕回答。
橋頭鄉派出所人員：「現在還無可奉告!」
橋頭鄉村民表示，當天到中午1點，還有上千人聚集在派出所門口。
橋頭鄉村民：「老百姓難過日子！不好過日子啊！老百姓。貪官相逼，貪污貪的厲害！」
英國《經濟學人》新一期的雜誌封面文章，專門探討中國的現狀。其中標題為「中國的動亂 危險的一年」文章認為，「中國在玩『擊鼓傳花』，不過傳遞的是定時炸彈。」
文章分析指出，近年來，國企和私營企業的工人罷工日益頻繁，隨著中國經濟放緩，更多這樣的群眾事件正時隱時現。而中共企圖「捂蓋子」，讓新聞媒體保持沉默的做法，由於微博的爆炸性增長，共產黨要阻止這類抗爭的能力正在減弱。而中國的經濟環境也同樣出現了更多的麻煩。
文章表示，中共在經濟發展上的所謂「中國模式」，看起來越來越難以為繼。
美國「紐約城市大學」經濟學教授陳志飛分析，《經濟學人》開闢中國欄目，顯示中國的經濟在近期有很大的困難，長遠來看有崩潰的危險，因此雜誌一反學者專家的臆測，深度剖析原因。
陳志飛：「就是《經濟學人》所稱的模型(Model) ，現在被認為是不可行的。從出口來看，尤其美國和歐盟經濟的疲軟，現在中國帶動出口的製造業行業，在過去的一個季度當中，已經持續持萎縮的狀態。在另外一個支柱來看，就是中國的投資，從經濟學的意義來(說) ，不能帶來投資效益，遲早是要破滅的，這破滅的一天現在看來已經到來了。」
《經濟學人》認為：在十八大之後接手的領導層，將很快面臨處理社會動亂的考驗。即使中國不會出現阿拉伯世界的起義，許多中國學者說，未來幾年也會看到不斷冒出的不穩定，經濟增長放緩和貧富差距的擴大會加劇這一情況。中國即將離任的領導人，試圖壓制有關改革政治體制的討論，也閉口不談能否讓公民更自由的表達自己的觀點。但許多分析家認為，這種改革是迫切需要的。
陳志飛：「我基本認同它的說法，而且它的事實、還有論據、論證，基本都是非常中肯、非常有理性的。從它整個的結構，文章的佈局謀篇來看，也是經過深思熟慮的，而且《經濟學人》不同於一般的歐美雜誌，它是經常具有自己獨家一手的資料，甚至中國國內的情況掌控上，都有它自己完全獨特的一套。」
《經濟學人》雜誌從1月28號起，正式開闢中國專欄，這是《經濟學人》70年來，首次為一個國家開闢專欄。
新唐人記者陳漢、周平、王明宇採訪報導。
The Economist: Unrest in China, A dangerous Year
While The British magazine, The Economist, recently published
an article entitled, “Unrest in China A dangerous year" in its World Politics China column,
thousands of people in Ganzhou, Jiangxi Province shouted
slogans “Down with the Communist Party,"
“Off the CCP flag and burn it," to protest against local
official’s empty words.
At 9:00 am, January 29th, two transportation contractors were
stabbed as a result of a quarrel with four coordinators of
a long-distance bus transportation company in Yudu County,
Ganzhou, Jiangxi.
In the afternoon, thousands of people protested at the local police station.
They shouted slogans “Down with the Communist Party,"
“Off the CCP flag and burn it," and
demanded stern punishment of the criminals, despite the
brainwashing propaganda from the officials and the police.
The reporter called the local police station at Chiaotou Village
to learn about the two assailants, but the police refused to answer, saying,, “No comment!"
Chiaotou villagers indicated that there were still thousands of
people near the police station at 1pm.
They said, “The people are having a hard time! Life is hard,
surrounded by corrupt officials and their greed!"
The Economist devoted its latest issue to China and
its paradox of prosperity.
The article entitled, “Unrest in China A dangerous year" stated
that China is “playing ‘pass the parcel’ with a time bomb."
This paper analyzes that in recent years, strikes have become
increasingly frequent at both government owned and privately owned factories,
“as China’s economy begins to grow more sedately,
more such unrest is looming."
The Communists’ thinking “is that capitulating keeps a lid on
news coverage and helps to prevent unrest from spreading."
“Yet the explosive growth in the use of Microblogs has made
“the Communist Party’s capacity to stop ripples of unease from
widening is waning—just as economic conditions are
making trouble more likely."
The article stated that so-called “China model" economy
“appears increasingly unsustainable."
Professor Chen Zhifei of the City University of New York
analyzed that The Economist’s coverage of China reflects
the great economic difficulties China is facing and
the possible collapse in the long run.
Therefore contradicting the speculations of many
other scholars, the magazine conducted an in-depth analysis.
Chen Zhifei: “The so-called Model in the Economist article
is now considered unfeasible.
The weakening of the U.S. and EU economy, which was driven
by China’s manufacturing, is in decline looking at the last quarter.
As for China’s investment, in an economic sense,
it can not bring returns; sooner or later it will burst.
It now appears that the day of bursting has come."
The Economist stated, “The new leadership that will take over
after the upcoming Congress will quickly face tests of its ability to handle social unrest.
Even if the country does not appear on the brink of
an Arab-style upheaval,
many Chinese academics say the next few years could see
burgeoning instability,
exacerbated by slower economic growth
and a widening gap between rich and poor.
China』s outgoing leaders have tried to suppress debate
about ways of reforming the political system in such a way that
allows the public to voice their grievances more freely.
But many analysts believe there is a pressing need
for such reform."
Chen Zhifei: “I basically agree with the pertinence of
that statement and its rational, fact based arguments.
The article deliberates through the structure and
arrangement of the layout.
The Economist is a different magazine from general
European and American magazines.
It often has its own exclusively first-hand information,
and even its own unique grasp of the situation in China."
The Economist magazine devoted its January 28th issue
to China.
This is the first column devoted to a country in the 70 years
of The Economist’s publishing history.
NTD reporters Chen Han, Zhou Ping and Wang Mingyu.