【新唐人2012年8月24日讯】中共解放军副总参谋长蔡英挺自20号起率团在美国访问，访问前中美双方都没有预报消息，而引起了外界的关注。外界评论指出，这次访问是中共寻求化解当前与周边国家危机、降低与美国军队对抗的“减压之行”。但是，美中双方都在积极备战，中国政治制度不变，美中之战不可避免。
蔡英挺的这次率团访美，是继国防部长梁光烈访美仅3个多月之后，中共高级军方代表团的再度访美。
去年，升任副总参谋长的蔡英挺是目前中共副总参谋长中最年轻的一位。这次访问，他的主要随行人员有北京军区参谋长王宁，济南军区副司令员兼济南军区空军司令员郑群良，广州军区参谋长贾晓炜，总参战略规划部副部长陈守民等。
据透露，代表团将访问夏威夷的美国太平洋战区司令部，和美军现役最大的装甲部队——德克萨斯州胡德堡陆军基地，以及驻有B-2隐形战略轰炸机的密苏里州美军怀特曼空军基地。
时政评论家、《中国事务》杂志总编辑伍凡认为，这次中共军方访美，不是正规会谈，主要是为了缓解双方的关系，为中国当前在南海、东海与周边国家的危机找出路，也为美中军队对抗减压。
《中国事务》总编辑 伍凡： “现在美国的制度和中国的制度，思想意识形态都不一样，双方都在较劲。 中共军方和美国军队坐下来做一些交流，或做一些探讨，双方摸底，不要误判，产生不必要的意外冲突。”
目前，中国与周边很多国家的冲突不断加大：不久前，中共宣布在南海成立三沙市，造成中国与越南、菲律宾之间的危机再度升级﹔而在钓鱼岛问题上，中国最近与日本剑拔弩张，大有战争之势，中共煤体《环球时报》报导甚至宣称，钓鱼岛危机已上升为中日当前不可调和的矛盾，中国政府要做好必要的军事准备。“国防大学”教授戴旭更在媒体上说，把日本船抓两条过来，日本自卫队敢动手就干它。
另外，最近中国的战略核潜艇，成功试射了一枚弹道导弹“巨浪—3”，让民族主义人士战意更浓，头脑发热。
不过，欧巴马在2009年调整战略，高调宣布美国重返亚洲，对中共造成直接的冲突。仅在2012年，在亚太地区由美国主导的联合军事演习，大大小小的演习总数已达10多次。其中不少演习直接将中国作为潜在的对抗目标，使中共倍感压力。
据报导，自22号开始，美国海军陆战队与日本自卫队进行为期37天的岛屿作战演习，表面上，演习并不以特定国家作为假想敌，但日本防卫省官员透露，“事实上这次演练是假想钓鱼岛‘受到中国军队侵入攻击’时，日方将如何夺岛的情况。 ”
伍凡指出，目前美中双方都在为战争积极做准备，中共正在大力发展导弹、隐形飞机、太空武器等，当然美国也在积极研制它的高端武器，争取在技术上更大的领先。
伍凡： “两个大国，实际上说穿了都是在准备战争，准备总有一天打。如果中共的整个政治制度、社会制度、经济制度改变了，那么这个大战可能性就消失了，就好像冷战结束以后，苏联变成俄国了，那个战争可能性就没有了。”
伍凡认为，这次双方军方接触，是战争还没打起来之前的互相摸底，试图寻求降低战争的可能性，其中，还可能，美国想了解中共18大后，军队在整个国家制度、党政制度里面占一个什么地位、起一个什么作用的意图。
采访/陈汉 编辑/宋风 后制/萧宇
Another High Level Military Delegation visits US
Thought Purpose is to Release Pressure – Analysts
The vice chief of People’s Liberation Army (PLA) General Staff
Department, Cai Yingting led a delegation to the United States on August 20th.
Neither China nor the United States made any official announce-
ment before the visit, which aroused attention from outside.
Analysts believe that the visit suggests the CCP wants to
avoid opposition to the US military in disputes with neighbor ing countries;
however, as both countries show an active attitude
in military deployment,
a war between China and the United states is inevitable
if China’s political regime does not change.
Cai Yingting’s is another high-level military group
which visits the United States
following the head of Ministry of National Defense,’s
Liang Guanglie’s visit three months ago.
Cai Yingting, who was promoted last year, is the youngest
vice chief of the PLA’s General Staff Department.
Cai’s entourage includes Wang Ning, chief of staff of
the Beijing Military Area Command,
Zheng Qunliang, deputy commander
of the Jinan Military Area Command,
Jia Xiaowei, chief of staff of the Guangzhou
Military Area Command and
Chen Shoumin, deputy head of the strategic planning
department of the PLA General Staff Headquarters.
Sources said that the delegation will visit the headquarters
of United States Pacific Command in Hawaii,
the largest military base of the armed forces at Fort Hood
in Texas and Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri where B-2 stealth bombers are stationed.
Political commentator, editor of China Affairs magazine
Wu Fan remarked that,
Cai’s visit was aimed at improving relations with the United
States rather than being a formal bilateral talk;
the CCP has tried to find solutions to the current territorial
dispute crisis with neighboring countries,
and to release the pressure between the armies of China
and the United States.
(Wu Fan, chief editor of China Affairs): ”The political regime
and ideology of the United States and China are very different.
Both countries are constantly battling with each other
in those fields.
Therefore, talks or communications between the armies aim
at exchanging attitudes and understandings with each other to avoid unnecessary military conflicts.”
Currently, the conflicts between the CCP and its neighboring
countries are becoming increasingly intense.
A short while ago the CCP announced the establishment of
Sansha city in the South China Sea.
This has intensified the territorial dispute between
China and Vietnam or the Philippines.
On the disputed Uotsuri Jima (Diaoyu Islands) problem,
the CCP and Japan are at loggerheads which could lead to war.
The CCP’s mouthpiece media, Global Times, announced that
the conflict over the sovereignty of Uotsuri Jima between the CCP and Japan is inextricable;
the CCP should make necessary preparations for possible
future military conflicts.
Professor at National Defense University Dai Xu even publicly
suggested capturing Japanese ships and attacking Japan’s maritime defense forces.
On the other hand, the CCP successfully fired a ballistic
missile JL-3 from its nuclear strategic submarine.
This has greatly encouraged Chinese nationalists
who advocate starting war.
In 2009, president Obama publicly announced that the
United States had moved back its military focus to Asia, which action directly conflicts with the CCP’s strategic goal.
The United States had led more than 10 joint military
exercises at different levels in Asia-Pacific region since 2012.
Many of them directly set China as the potential enemy,
which exerted great pressure on the CCP.
It is reported that the United States Marine Corps and Japan’s
defense forces will perform a 37-day joint military exercise on island battles from August 22nd.
Although there’s no official imaginary enemy in the exercise,
a Japanese defense official revealed that,
“the exercise is in fact a simulation of the capture of
the island if Uotsuri Jima were invaded by the CCP.”
Wu Fan remarked that, the United States and the CCP were
actively preparing for a future war;
the CCP was developing missiles, stealth aircraft and
space weapons; on the other hand,
the United States was also carrying out research on new
high-end weapons for a more advantageous lead in technique.
(Wu Fan): ”Both powers are preparing for a war
which may come about at some time in the future.
However, if the whole political, social and economic regime
of the CCP collapses, perhaps the war will not break out.
As we can see from a similar case, the disintegration of
the Soviet Union after the Cold War eliminated the possibility of war breaking out.”
Wu Fan believes that Cai’s visit is an exchange of attitudes
between both countries to avoid a possible coming war;
the United States might also be interested in understanding
the role which the army will play in the CCP’s regime after the 18th National Congress.
