【禁闻】中共斥美信评下调 专家:自食其果

【新唐人2011年8月8日讯】8月5号晚,世界三大评级机构之一的“标准普尔”破天荒的将美国长期主权信用评级,由无风险的最高级AAA下调至AA+,引起全球关注。各债权国普遍反应平和,但中共喉舌《新华社》却发表措辞强硬的英文评论,对美国信用降级宣泄不满。专家认为中共是自食其果,转移中国民众视线,却对潜在的外汇损失和经济冲击毫无办法。

美国在历史上,首次丧失拥有近一个世纪之久的最高信用评级,在国际间引起不同反响。

包括日本、韩国、澳大利亚在内的国家,都认为没有必要对美国评级下调反应过度。作为美国第二大债权国的日本还表示,对美国的债券保持信心。在欧洲,俄罗斯、法国和英国也都表示,对美国评级下调并不担心。

与其他美国的债权国谨慎平和的反应相比,中共则显得怒气冲天。《法国国际广播电台》说,对中共喉舌《新华社》的评论文章,西方众多媒体的评价是“十分刻毒”,这种毫不体谅、咄咄逼人的刻薄态度让舆论感到震惊,更以“盟国送炭中国加霜”来形容中共当局的震怒。

经济评论家草庵居士:“实际上这个外汇储备的问题是中国(中共)政府自己造成的,它自己也讲它们买美国国债是商业行为,这是中国政府外汇管理局它们自己说的。既然是商业行为的话,你投资损失是自己要承担的,只是中国(中共)政府不敢面对这个事情,对中国百姓也不敢公开。”

舆论普遍认为,中国过度依赖出口的经济模式,使外汇储备不断增加,老百姓却为这一模式不断付出沉重的代价。

美国经济学家程晓农表示,美国国债并不是无人可买,而是中国除了购买美债,没有其他办法解决他的巨额外汇,中共积累美元外汇储备政策,是维持他统治的策略,是他制定的国策的必然结果。

草庵居士:“美国的国债不好,美元不好会引起人民币的相对升值。人民币升值会有大量的热钱将涌入中国,会把中国的经济更加炒热,最终导致中国的经济崩溃,这是中国面临的一个很严重的问题。它(中共)现在指责美国的时候呢,实际上他是转移视线,他并没有实质性的解决办法。”

草庵居士也认为,中共面对美国信用评级下调导致的外汇损失,和对国内经济的冲击,无计可施。

《新华社》的文章还说,美国发行货币应该受到国际监管,国际社会也可以考虑采纳新的全球储备货币。美国南卡罗莱纳大学艾肯商学院教授谢田,对中共提出的“国际监管”这个说法表示不解。

谢田:“中共在国际社会上经常打着口号不允许别的国家干涉中国的内政,但现在实际上中共提出要求,就美元问题的国际监督,是明目张胆的干涉美国的内政。这实际上是中共自己打了自己一个耳光。美国政府跟其他的债主的关系完全是一种财务上的,因为他的公债合同上面只要求美国政府只有义务去按销售合同要求还本付息。中共没有任何权利来监督也好,干涉也好。

对于中共提到的新的全球储备货币,谢田认为,在欧洲政治、文化意识形态,和经济发展都很接近的情况下,推行欧元这种单一的货币都存在很多问题,要采纳新的全球储备货币,在现阶段是天方夜谭,根本不可能。

新唐人记者梁欣、李明飞、周天采访报导。

China Denounces US for Lowered Credit Rating

On Aug. 5, one of the world’s largest credit rating agencies,
S&P, lowered the US credit rating from AAA to AA+.
Most creditor countries of US securities responded peacefully,

but Xinhua News, mouthpiece of the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP) published a strongly-worded commentary,
denouncing the US for its lowered credit rating.

Experts believe CCP devoured large amounts of US securities
and its denouncement was aimed at distracting China.
The CCP can do nothing about the potential depreciation
of its foreign reserves and the impact on China’s economy.

US lost its century-long highest credit rating for the first time
in history, sparking various responses around the world.

Countries like Japan, South Korea and Australia believe that
there is no need to over-react to the lowering of the rating.
As the second largest creditor,
Japan expressed its confidence in the US securities.
In Europe, Russia, France and the UK say that
they are not worried about the lowered credit rating.

Radio France Internationale said that most Western media
commented that the Xinhua is “very spiteful.”
And its careless, aggressive and unkind attitude is shocking.
Unlike other creditors’ responses, CCP was in a towering rage.
Western media call US allies’ understanding as
“friends indeed,” and think CCP’s uproar “worsens things.”

Economist Caoan Jushi: “In fact, the foreign reserve problem
was caused by the Chinese government itself.
Its Administration of Exchange Control says that China’s
purchase of the US securities is a commercial activity.
If it is a commercial activity, the investment losses
should be shouldered by the CCP itself.
It is only that the CCP government dare not face this issue.
Neither dare it publicize the losses to Chinese nationals.”

Its commonly believed that China’s economic pattern
of relying on exports causes foreign reserve to grow endlessly.
However, the Chinese people have continued
to pay a high price for this growth pattern.

US-based economist, Cheng Xiaonong, said that
the US securities do not lack buyers.
It is that China has no other way to consume its large foreign
reserve, other than to buy the US securities.
The CCP’s policy of “stocking” the USD foreign reserve
is a tactic to maintain its rule.

Caoan Jushi: “Poorly performed US securities can push up
the value of RMB.When RMB is appreciated, a large amount of hot money will
pour into China, making its economy even hotter,
and eventually cause the collapse of the Chinese economy.
This is a serious problem China is facing. When the CCP
denounces the U.S., its aim is to distract public attention.
But in fact, it does not have any concrete measures
to solve the problem.”

Caoan Jushi believes that in the face of foreign reserve losses
and the impact the US’s lowered credit rating
has on the Chinese economy, the CCP is at its wit’s end.

A Xinhua article said, the issuance of US currency should be
monitored internationally,
and the international community
can also consider a new global reserve currency.
Xie Tian, Business School Prof. from Univ. of South Carolina,
said “international monitoring” advised by CCP is confusing.

Prof. Xie Tian: “The CCP rejects any “interference” from the
international community, when it comes to internal affairs,
but international monitoring of the USD that CCP proposed
is a brazen interference of American internal affairs.
In fact, it is a slap the CCP placed on its own face. US’s
relationship with its creditors is one of financial undertakings.
On US security contracts, the US government is only asked
to fulfill its duty to pay back the principals plus interests.
The CCP has no rights to monitor or interfere
with the issuance of the US currency.”

As for the new global reserve currency that the CCP proposed,
Prof. Xie Tian believes that
even under the circumstances of similar politics, cultural
ideology and economic growth in Europe,
there still exist so many problems promoting
a unified European currency,
it’s almost impossible at the present time
to adopt a new global reserve currency.

NTD reporters Liang Xin, Li Mingfei and Zhou Tian

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