【新唐人2011年4月1日讯】中国多个地方政府最近发布了住房价格调控目标，只有北京市与中央政府控制房价上涨的目标一致，而其他地方政府都支持房价上涨。业内人士认为，在通胀及土地财政难改观的背景下，楼市调控就是空话。
中共国务院今年1月发布“新国八条”房地产调控措施，要求各地在1季度前公布房价调控目标。目前超过40个城市公布了目标，而且，绝大多数城市将涨幅定在10%，或与当地国内生产总值（GDP）增速和居民人均可支配收入涨幅挂钩。
《路透社》引述“中国指数研究院”数据信息中心总经理葛海峰的话：现在各地出台的房价调控目标感觉象涨价目标，与社会公众预想的完全不一样。据“中国指数研究院”报告显示，2010年中国多数城市房价上涨接近或超过20%，北京房价高达37.1%。
而莫尼塔证劵公司房地产分析师王沛表示，本来调控价格的数字就是个文字游戏，但现在地方政府做的有点太过火了，原则上房价跟着GDP走没有问题，但目前城市房价已处于不合理水准，若进一步增长，居民购买力将进一步弱化。
对此，知名财经评论家叶檀博士也认为，这次地方政府被迫公布房地产价格上涨目标，惟一的好处是让我们认清了现实。
她指出，房地产调控已经成为中央政府的独角戏；地方政府希望房地产价格继续上涨。中央房地产调控遭到地方政府的普遍挑战，国内的既得利益阶层对房地产调控嗤之以鼻。可能的后果是，中国的贫富差距继续恶化，而且中国的中端制造业将全部覆没。
究其背后的原因，《华尔街日报》引述瑞信(Credit Suisse)分析师杜劲松的看法，地方政府并没有对房价调控真正用心，地方政府仍然支持房地产开发商设定的高房价，因为房地产开发商缴纳的土地出让金是地方政府的主要收入来源。
英国《金融时报》也有类似观点，报导说：“地方政府普遍性的对调控房价冷淡，是因为目前的‘土地财政’制度。”
3月30号香港《经济日报》评论说，内地楼市有“蓄价待涨”之势，楼市调控成效不彰，说明中央政策失去权威。如果中央对地方继续忍气吞声“河蟹”了事，无论再多出几轮调控措施，恐怕都难见成效。
28号，大陆只有40个城市公布了楼价调控目标，不足国内城市总数约660个的1成。香港《苹果日报》评论认为，各大城市在执行国务院楼价调控令时的观望态度，再次印证中共“政令不出中南海”的困局。
而一线大城市中，上海、深圳、北京则赶在29号公布了调控目标，但也只有北京市与中央政府控制房价上涨的目标一致。
新唐人记者宋风、周平综合报导。
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Housing Prices Continue to Soar
Many local governments recently published
their objectives for housing price control,
with only Beijing being in line with that
of the Central Government to inhibit price soar.
All others are in favor of the price hike.
Experts believe that it is hard to control prices,
given the high inflation and poor local revenue
derived from the land.
With 8 new rules on housing price control
released in January 2011, State Council required
all local governments to publish control objectives
before Q1. 40+ cities published their objectives,
with most projecting a rise but within 10%,
or to match local GDP growth or per capita income.
Ge Haifeng, a manager in China Index Res. Institute
told Reuters: “Objectives released by each city
look like ones for price hike, very different from
what the public expected. A report by our institute
indicated, that housing prices in most cities have
increased 20%+ in 2010, topped by Beijing’s 37.1%.
Wang Pei, property analyst from Moneta Securities:
“Local authorities went too far in their objectives.
Generally it is ok to tie housing prices to growth
of GDP, but since the current prices are already
irrationally high, a further increase would weaken
the residents’ buying power.”
Dr. Ye Tang, a renowned financial commentator said,
that the only merit of forcing local governments
to post their objectives
is for us to clearly understand the reality.
She said, that real estate has become a monologue
of the Central Government. Local authorities hope
for continued rise of housing prices.
The housing price control policy has met
with local governments’ challenge.
Those people of vested interests scorn this policy.
The possible consequences are a widened wealth gap
and a perishing intermediate manufacturing sector.
For the real reasons, Du Jingsong, an analyst from
Credit Suisse, told Wall Street Journal that
local governments are not serious
about housing price control, continuing to support
developers’ high house prices, since the land use
fees are a major source of revenue for them.
Financial Times said that the local governments
are generally indifferent to the control policy
due to the current fiscal system of “land finance".
Hong Kong based Economic Daily said on March 30,
that Chinese housing prices are on a temporary halt
but will soar later, so the control policy
is not effective, signifying Central Government’s
lose of credibility. If the Central Government
tolerates this, it will not be effective
no matter how many policies are released.
On March 28, only 40 out of 660 cities published
their objectives, less than 10%. Apple Daily wrote,
that the “wait and see" attitude of most cities
prior to publishing their objectives indicates
the dilemma that Chinese Communist Party’s orders
could hardly go beyond the Zhongnanhai walls.
Among the major Chinese cities, Shanghai, Shenzhen
and Beijing published their objectives on March 29,
but only Beijing is in line with Central Government.
NTD reporters Song Feng and Zhou Ping.
