【新唐人2014年10月18日訊】日前，中共黨媒《人民日報》政文微信的文章透露，中共前政法委書記周永康，可能在下週召開的四中全會上被開除黨籍，並被決定是否移送司法。
下週一，為期四天的中共中央四中全會將在北京召開。《人民日報》14號通過其政文部微信賬號，發表評論文章說，今年7月29號，中共對周永康立案審查後，審查結果如何，是否開除黨籍、移送司法等問題，有望在四中全會上作出安排。
另外，目前仍在接受調查的中共中央委員、國資委原主任蔣潔敏、公安部原副部長李東生，中央候補委員、廣州原市委書記萬慶良、四川省委原副書記李春城、中國石油天然氣集團公司原副總經理王永春等人的處理決定，也將在四中全會上追認。
路透社也引用了三名要求匿名的消息人士的話說，到時候，中紀委將報告周永康案的調查結果。
其中，一名與領導層有聯繫的消息人士說，中央預計將批准開除周永康的黨籍，原因是嚴重違紀，並決定是否移送司法機關。但他還說，即使中央投票同意起訴周永康，司法程序也可能拖很長時間，因為人手不足，以及案件的複雜性。
中國社會問題研究人士張健：「因為周永康自從被抓到現在呢，無論外界有甚麼猜測，在四中全會上，這是一個最好公開的時機了。可能會把周永康這個問題，借四中全會之際，在內部，對外，形成一個公開的論調。」
消息人士向路透社表示，周永康從2013年底就已經受到軟禁和腐敗調查，他的家人和政治盟友也牽涉在內。另外還涉及竊聽最高領導人的電話，以及他前妻在一起交通事故中的離奇死亡。
據相關調查的知情人士說，過去兩年來，周永康的親戚、政治盟友、商業夥伴，共有300多人受到逮捕、拘留或質詢。其中部分人的案件，可能在今年內就開審。有關部門扣押了相關人員的財產至少900億元人民幣。
但路透社說，消息人士和觀察家都認為，中共不大可能將整個故事和盤托出，否則將進一步損害自身形象，並且也很難向公眾解釋，周永康是怎樣在政治階梯上一路爬升，直到成為政治局常委。
張健：「中共給他定罪的話，有可能是從腐敗、買官賣官和女色，在這幾個方面是一個重點。至於其他的，像我們最關心的，對人權的迫害、活體器官的摘除、對於整個中國社會民眾集體抗爭事件的暴力鎮壓。像這些方面的話，我相信中共還是不會提及的。正如當年對待薄熙來的案件一樣。」
習近平「打老虎」打到周永康，打破了中共「刑不上常委」的潛規則。不過觀察人士認為，即使周案在四中全會上被定性，也不會是「打老虎」的句號。
北京時政觀察人士華頗：「從最近這一系列事件來看，香港事件，還有國內的事件，各地的既得利益集團，進行了瘋狂的反撲。打周永康，打了這只老虎，沒有對其他人有足夠的威懾。所以我想，還會有一些大老虎被打。」
除了外媒透露出的周永康案，黨媒報導，這次四中全會的主題將是「依法治國」。人民網13號說，四中全會以「依法治國」為主題討論，是歷史上的第一次。
而距離1997年中共「依法治國」寫入十五大報告，已經有17年了。因此觀察人士對「依法治國」會給中共統治帶來多大的改變，並不樂觀。
華頗：「所謂的依法治國，依憲治國，我想中共是有選擇的依照憲法了。就是黨權的地位加強，就是所謂的『四個堅持』，這是憲法上寫的，它會一定要依照的。但是這個民權，就是憲法二十五條，就是公民有言論、遊行、示威、出版、結社的自由，我看估計是不會依照的。」
另外，也有評論人士認為，這次四中全會還將有人事異動，根據中共之前召開的十次四中全會的記錄，有八次都涉及了人事調整，而且每次都涉及政治局級領導。
採訪/朱智善 編輯/尚燕 後製/陳建銘
Party Media: Fourth Plenum May Publicize Zhou Yongkang’s Case
People’s Daily recently analyzed that during
the Fourth Plenary Session next week the former secretary
of the Central Politics and Law Commission Zhou Yongkang
could be expelled from the party and prosecuted.
The four-day Fourth Plenary Session of the Central
Committee will be held in Beijing next Monday.
A People’s Daily article on the 14th explained the case
investigation of Zhou Yongkang on July 29 could be
revealed during the meeting.
Other investigations such as those of former director
of SASAC Jiang Jiemin, former Vice Minister of Public
Security Li Dongsheng, former Party Secretary of Guangzhou
Wan Qingliang, former deputy secretary of Sichuan
Provincial Committee Li Chuncheng, and former deputy
general manager of PetroChina Wang Yongchun, will also
be ratified at the Fourth Plenary Session.
Reuters reported that the Central Commission for Discipline
Inspection will present its findings in a report on Zhou,
according to three sources.
“The Central Committee is expected to approve
(a proposal to) expel Zhou for grave violations
of party discipline and decide whether to turn him over
for prosecution," one source with leadership ties told Reuters.
The source added, “If the Central Committee votes
to prosecute Zhou, the process will drag out due to a lack
of (judicial) manpower and the complexity of the case."
Zhang Jian, China’s social problems researcher: “Regardless
of the speculation, the Fourth Plenary Session will be the best
time to open up on the Zhou Yongkang issue.
Through the Fourth Plenary, it is time to form a public
argument internally and externally."
According to Reuters, Zhou has been put under virtual house
arrest since late 2013 and investigated for corruption involving
family members and political allies as well as ordering
the bugging of the telephones of top leaders
and the mysterious death of his former wife in a road accident,
sources have said.
More than 300 of Zhou’s relatives, political allies and their
business associates have been arrested, detained or questioned
over the past two years, according to sources briefed
on the investigations.
The trials of some of Zhou’s allies could start as early as
this year, the sources said.
Chinese authorities have seized assets worth at least
90 billion yuan ($14.5 billion) from these people,
the sources added.
Reuters also reported, but the party is unlikely to reveal
the entire story because it would further undermine its image
and make it difficult to explain to the public how Zhou
climbed the political ladder to eventually become a member
of the Politburo Standing Committee, sources and analysts said.
Zhang Jian: “The CCP could convict him mainly on
corruption, buying and selling official titles, and sex scandals.
As for the rest, such as what we are most concerned about—
the persecution of human rights, live organ harvesting,
and the violent suppression of masses protests in the entire
society— I don’t believe the CCP would mention any
of them, just like how Bo Xilai’s case was handled back then."
Xi Jinping’s “hitting the tiger" campaign has broken
an unwritten rule that members of the Standing Committee
would not come under scrutiny after retirement.
But, observers believe even Zhou’s case will be confirmed
in the Fourth Plenum but won’t be the end of the campaign.
Beijing politics watcher Hua Po: “The recent series
of incidents such as the Hong Kong protest and other domestic
events have shown a frenzied counterattack
by the vested interest groups.
Beating Zhou Yongkang did not serve enough deterrent
to other tigers.
I am sure there are other tigers to be hit."
People’s Daily said the Fourth Plenum theme
will also include “rule of law."
The discussion of “rule of law" during the plenum
will be the first time in history.
“The rule of law" was introduced during
the 15th National Congress in 1997.
It has been 17 years, observers don’t hold much hope
for any change to the ruling under the Communist regime.
Hua Po: “The so-called rule of law or Constitution,
I think it’s optional to the CCP.
For instance, the Constitution says to strengthen the CCP
ruling and the four cardinal principles,
are what the CCP will abide by.
But, the civil rights in the Constitution article 25
about freedom of speech, parades, demonstrations,
publication, freedom of association, I don’t think the CCP
will honor them."
There are also commentators who indicated
personnel changes will take place during the Fourth Plenary.
Eight of the 10 previous Fourth Plenum have engaged
in arrangement changes, in particularly
the Politburo leadership.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/ShanYan Post-Production/Chen Jianming
